Saturday, July 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. Adam Wainwright
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Busch Stadium on Saturday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and Adam Wainwright for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +164 and St. Louis at -174. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 40-34-4 over/under record and a 40-38-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Cardinals are 41-37-0 against the run line and have a 43-31-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Brewers head into this matchup with a 35-43 record, including 13-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 70 strikeouts over his 95 innings pitched and he has given up 86 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.94. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 270 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen while being struck out 252 times and walking 115 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.49 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.49. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 715 base hits and 346 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 270 batters and struck out 577. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.69.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .248, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .242 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.13 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .325 and his on-base percentage is at .383. He has 81 hits this season along with 34 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 44 times and has walked 21 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 79 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 38. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 51 times. The Brewers have 634 hits, including 123 doubles and 82 home runs. They've stolen 67 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Milwaukee has walked 291 times this season and they've struck out 745 times as a unit. They've left 532 men on base and have a team OPS of .724. They score 4.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 317 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 15-23 home record and a 40-38 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.04, Adam Wainwright has a 6-5 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 96.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 105 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.68. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 186 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 224 times and walking 85 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 656 base knocks and 306 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 221 hitters and struck out 586. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.84.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.99 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .296 and he has an OBP of .419. He has 79 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 55 occasions. Yadier Molina is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 68 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 26. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 34 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 702 base hits, including 150 doubles and 106 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 268 times this year and they have struck out 611 times. They've had 552 men left on base and have an OPS of .780. They score 5.21 runs per game and have totaled 406 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 40-34-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 40-38-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 43-31-4 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 41-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
St. Louis Cardinals
06/30/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Eye "?" Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
06/30/16 CF Stephen Piscotty Ankle "?" Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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