Tuesday, July 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies vs. Gio Gonzalez
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Nationals Park on Tuesday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Zach Davies for the Brewers and Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +170 and Washington at -180. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers have a 41-36-4 over/under record and a 41-40-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Nationals are 43-40-0 against the run line and have a 42-35-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Brewers head into this matchup with a 35-46 record, including 13-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Zach Davies has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 68 strikeouts over his 79 innings pitched and he has given up 75 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.45. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.14 and they have given up 279 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen while being struck out 258 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.33 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.47 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 744 base hits and 361 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 286 batters and struck out 595. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.70.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .248, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.16 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .328 and his on-base percentage is at .383. He has 86 hits this season along with 35 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 44 times and has walked 21 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .300 and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 82 hits so far while scoring 40 runs and he's driven in 39. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 55 times. The Brewers have 661 hits, including 126 doubles and 83 home runs. They've stolen 68 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Milwaukee has walked 302 times this season and they've struck out 769 times as a unit. They've left 557 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 326 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 26-13 home record and a 50-33 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.81, Gio Gonzalez has a 4-7 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 97 strikeouts over the 91.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 95 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.75. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.14 and they have given up 192 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 242 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.44 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.31. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 641 base knocks and 276 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 77 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 226 hitters and struck out 788. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.42.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Nationals hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.59 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .261 and he has an OBP of .405. He has 69 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 48 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 65 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .348 and he has an OBP of .388. He has collected 108 hits so far while he's scored 48 runs and drove in 56. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 35 times. The Nationals as a unit have 713 base hits, including 135 doubles and 114 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Washington as a team has walked 299 times this year and they have struck out 638 times. They've had 574 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.75 runs per game and have totaled 394 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 41-36-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 41-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 42-35-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 43-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/04/16 1B Chris Carter Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Monday vs. Washington Nationals
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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