Thursday, July 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tyler Duffey vs. Steven Wright
The Minnesota Twins visit Fenway Park on Thursday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Tyler Duffey for the Twins and Steven Wright for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +201 and Boston at -218. The over/under was set at 10. The Twins have a 54-33-6 over/under record and a 47-46-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Red Sox are 47-44-0 against the run line and have a 47-39-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 34-59 record, including 14-30 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyler Duffey has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 70 strikeouts over his 86 innings pitched and he has given up 98 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.51. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 303 times and walking 100 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 912 base hits and 447 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 254 batters and struck out 683. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .250, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Twins hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.6 hits per game. Eduardo Nunez comes into this game hitting .312 and his on-base percentage is at .336. He has 105 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 48 times and has walked 12 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .268 and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 87 hits so far while scoring 45 runs and he's driven in 29. He has walked 53 times and has struck out 60 times. The Twins have 800 hits, including 161 doubles and 108 home runs. They've stolen 62 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Minnesota has walked 294 times this season and they've struck out 790 times as a unit. They've left 649 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 409 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 31-20 home record and a 52-39 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.78, Steven Wright has a 11-5 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 98 strikeouts over the 120 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 98 hits. He has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.58. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 239 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 306 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.45 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 783 base knocks and 391 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 107 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 289 hitters and struck out 763. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.
As a team, they are batting .288, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .301 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.2 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .299 and he has an OBP of .339. He has 120 hits this year along with 75 runs scored and 59 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .318 and he has an OBP of .376. He has collected 119 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 59. He has earned a walk 34 times and has punched out 62 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 928 base hits, including 217 doubles and 110 homers. They have 59 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Boston as a team has walked 320 times this year and they have struck out 646 times. They've had 681 men left on base and have an OPS of .825. They score 5.55 runs per game and have totaled 505 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 54-33-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 47-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 47-39-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 47-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Boston Red Sox
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral out indefinitely
07/15/16 P Junichi Tazawa Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins
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