Monday, August 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Hector Santiago vs. Trevor Bauer
The Minnesota Twins visit Progressive Field on Monday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Hector Santiago for the Twins and Trevor Bauer for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +135 and Cleveland at -145. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Twins have a 79-43-7 over/under record and a 66-63-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Indians are 63-65-0 against the run line and have a 63-55-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Twins head into this matchup with a 49-80 record, including 24-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Hector Santiago has a 10-8 record with an earned run average of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 119 strikeouts over his 139.2 innings pitched and he has given up 136 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.36. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 480 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the bullpen while being struck out 408 times and walking 141 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.09. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,299 base hits and 647 earned runs. They have allowed 178 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 350 batters and struck out 928. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.55.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .255, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .255 average away from home. The Twins hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.86 hits per game. Brian Dozier comes into this game hitting .270 and his on-base percentage is at .341. He has 131 hits this season along with 81 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 92 times and has walked 48 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .273 and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 118 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 45. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 81 times. The Twins have 1,143 hits, including 238 doubles and 152 home runs. They've stolen 80 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Minnesota has walked 403 times this season and they've struck out 1,093 times as a unit. They've left 897 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 589 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 39-23 home record and a 73-55 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.88, Trevor Bauer has a 9-6 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 131 strikeouts over the 146 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 134 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.97. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have given up 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 378 times and walking 148 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,058 base knocks and 493 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 152 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 374 hitters and struck out 1,097. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.99.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .293 average at home. The Indians hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.12 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .285 and he has an OBP of .341. He has 140 hits this year along with 75 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 114 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 153 hits so far while he's scored 83 runs and drove in 64. He has earned a walk 38 times and has punched out 73 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,167 base hits, including 237 doubles and 161 homers. They have 102 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 388 times this year and they have struck out 1,012 times. They've had 829 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They score 4.93 runs per game and have totaled 631 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 79-43-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 66-63-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 63-55-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 63-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/26/16 P Hector Santiago Thumb "?" for next scheduled start
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
08/13/16 P Tommy Milone Bicep 15-day DL (8/11)
08/11/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (8/7)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
08/17/16 P Josh Tomlin Personal expected to miss 3-5 days
07/19/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 15-day DL (7/18)
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Twins
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