Sunday, September 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Jacob deGrom
The Minnesota Twins visit Citi Field on Sunday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Kyle Gibson for the Twins and Jacob deGrom for the Mets. The Twins have a 90-50-8 over/under record and a 75-73-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 70-77-0 against the run line and have a 66-78-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Twins head into this matchup with a 55-93 record, including 26-47 on the road. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 6-9 record with an earned run average of 5.08 and a WHIP of 1.54. He has 90 strikeouts over his 131 innings pitched and he has given up 154 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.8. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 566 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen while being struck out 476 times and walking 178 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.31 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,500 base hits and 750 earned runs. They have allowed 206 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 433 batters and struck out 1,069. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.62.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .255, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Twins hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.89 hits per game. Brian Dozier comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .354. He has 159 hits this season along with 99 runs scored and 98 runs batted in. He's struck out 120 times and has walked 58 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .267 and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 129 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 78 times and has struck out 90 times. The Twins have 1,315 hits, including 271 doubles and 183 home runs. They've stolen 84 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Minnesota has walked 465 times this season and they've struck out 1,276 times as a unit. They've left 1,034 men on base and have a team OPS of .747. They score 4.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 679 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 39-33 home record and a 78-69 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.04, Jacob deGrom has a 7-8 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 143 strikeouts over the 148 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 142 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.32. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.57 and they have given up 410 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 486 times and walking 165 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,258 base knocks and 515 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 392 hitters and struck out 1,248. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.55.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.1 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 122 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 80 RBI. He's struck out 98 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .277 and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 129 hits so far while he's scored 59 runs and drove in 49. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 97 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,191 base hits, including 211 doubles and 199 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 456 times this year and they have struck out 1,191 times. They've had 1,000 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They score 3.94 runs per game and have totaled 579 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 90-50-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 75-73-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 66-78-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 70-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/16/16 C Kurt Suzuki Chin "?" Saturday vs. New York Mets
09/16/16 3B Miguel Sano Back out indefinitely
09/14/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (9/12); out for season
09/10/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique 15-day DL
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
New York Mets
09/17/16 3B Wilmer Flores Wrist "?" Saturday vs. Minnesota Twins
09/16/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm expected to start Sunday vs Minnesota Twins
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
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