Saturday, June 4, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Bartolo Colon vs. Justin Nicolino
The New York Mets head to Marlins Park on Saturday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable pitchers are Bartolo Colon for the Mets and Justin Nicolino for the Marlins. The opening line for this game has New York at -130 and Miami at +120. The over/under is 8.5. The Mets have a 25-26-1 over/under mark and a 21-31-0 run line record, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Marlins are 27-27-0 against the run line and have a 27-26-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Mets head into this game with a 29-23 record, and they are 14-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Bartolo Colon has a 4-3 record with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 45 strikeouts during his 61 innings pitched and he has given up 63 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.57. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have allowed 129 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the pen while they've been struck out 173 times and walked 55 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.37 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.84 hitters per nine. They are 3rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.20. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 432 base hits and 165 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 127 batters and struck out 456. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.16.
As a team, New York is hitting .230, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .244 average on the road. The Mets have a .407 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .308 which is good for 22nd in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.58 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 52 hits this season along with 16 runs scored and 18 runs batted in. He's struck out 41 times and has walked 11 times. Neil Walker is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 51 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 46 times. The Mets have 394 hits, including 73 doubles and 73 home runs. They've stolen 11 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. New York has walked 177 times this season and they've struck out 473 times as a unit. They've left 357 men on base and have a team OPS of .715. They score 3.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 195 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this game with a 13-14 home mark and a 29-25 overall record. With an ERA of 4.50, Justin Nicolino has a 2-3 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 40 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 41 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 164 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 176 times and walking 88 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.33 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.38 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 445 base knocks and 210 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 221 hitters and struck out 448. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 3.80.
As a team, they are batting .269, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Marlins hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.26 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this matchup batting .327 and he has an OBP of .380. He has 65 hits this year along with 34 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 45 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Martin Prado is hitting .313 and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 62 hits so far while he's scored 18 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 22 times. The Marlins as a unit have 500 base hits, including 94 doubles and 46 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Miami as a team has walked 156 times this year and they have struck out 410 times. They've had 412 men left on base and have an OPS of .735. They score 3.93 runs per game and have totaled 212 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 25-26-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 21-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 27-26-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 27-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck out indefinitely
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/02/16 3B Derek Dietrich Wrist "?" Friday vs. New York Mets
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks