Monday, June 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Jon Niese
The New York Mets head to PNC Park on Monday to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable pitchers are Steven Matz for the Mets and Jon Niese for the Pirates. The opening line for this game has New York at -105 and Pittsburgh at +115. The over/under is 7.5. The Mets have a 27-26-1 over/under mark and a 23-31-0 run line record, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Pirates are 26-29-0 against the run line and have a 34-20-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Mets head into this game with a 31-23 record, and they are 16-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 7-1 record with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 53 strikeouts during his 55.1 innings pitched and he has given up 47 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.85. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have allowed 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the pen while they've been struck out 179 times and walked 58 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.36 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.81 hitters per nine. They are 3rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.17. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 448 base hits and 170 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 132 batters and struck out 472. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.17.
As a team, New York is hitting .234, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .251 average on the road. The Mets have a .412 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .313 which is good for 21st in the league. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.76 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .330. He has 54 hits this season along with 18 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 44 times and has walked 11 times. Neil Walker is hitting .285 and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 53 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 46 times. The Mets have 419 hits, including 78 doubles and 76 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 184 times this season and they've struck out 491 times as a unit. They've left 375 men on base and have a team OPS of .724. They score 3.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 207 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this game with a 16-10 home mark and a 30-25 overall record. With an ERA of 4.36, Jon Niese has a 5-2 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 47 strikeouts over the 64 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 71 hits. He has allowed 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.26. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 173 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 142 times and walking 80 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.09 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 493 base knocks and 226 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 64 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 203 hitters and struck out 390. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.58.
As a team, they are batting .277, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .294 average at home. The Pirates hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.69 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this matchup batting .250 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 54 hits this year along with 34 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 57 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .327 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 69 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 50 times. The Pirates as a unit have 533 base hits, including 105 doubles and 55 homers. They have 40 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 197 times this year and they have struck out 437 times. They've had 435 men left on base and have an OPS of .783. They score 4.96 runs per game and have totaled 273 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 27-26-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 23-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 34-20-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 26-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/05/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb "?" Monday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
06/05/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Hip "?" Monday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/05/16 3B David Freese Hand "?" Monday vs. New York Mets
06/05/16 C Francisco Cervelli Foot "?" Monday vs. New York Mets
05/26/16 P Arquimedes Caminero Quad 15-day DL (5/25)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 60-day DL (5/24)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates
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