Thursday, May 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Colin Rea
The New York Mets visit Petco Park on Thursday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Colin Rea for the Padres. The Mets have a 13-11-1 over/under record and a 12-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Padres are 16-11-0 against the run line and have a 13-13-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 59% of the time.
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The Mets head into this matchup with a 16-9 record, including 8-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 1.02 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 14 strikeouts over his 17.2 innings pitched and he has given up 15 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.15. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.79 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 88 times and walking 28 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.21 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 2.84. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 219 base hits and 71 earned runs. They have allowed 12 home runs this season and they allow 0.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 62 batters and struck out 230. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 2.57.
As a team, New York is batting .250, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .277 average away from home. The Mets hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.4 hits per game. Neil Walker comes into this game hitting .296 and his on-base percentage is at .330. He has 29 hits this season along with 13 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 21 times and has walked 5 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .307 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 27 hits so far while scoring 9 runs and he's driven in 7. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 15 times. The Mets have 210 hits, including 44 doubles and 36 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. New York has walked 86 times this season and they've struck out 208 times as a unit. They've left 180 men on base and have a team OPS of .766. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 112 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 6-8 home record and a 11-16 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.61, Colin Rea has a 2-1 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 27.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.63. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.09 and they have given up 93 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 87 times and walking 36 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.36 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 235 base knocks and 115 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 27 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 99 hitters and struck out 223. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.
As a team, they are batting .236, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .222 average at home. The Padres hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 7.96 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .315 and he has an OBP of .350. He has 34 hits this year along with 16 runs scored and 15 RBI. He's struck out 31 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .271 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 29 hits so far while he's scored 13 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 30 times. The Padres as a unit have 215 base hits, including 42 doubles and 21 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. San Diego as a team has walked 74 times this year and they have struck out 261 times. They've had 173 men left on base and have an OPS of .657. They score 3.81 runs per game and have totaled 103 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 13-11-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 12-13-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 13-13-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 16-11-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
San Diego Padres
04/23/16 3B Alexi Amarista Hamstring 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/11/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/08/16 P Matt Thornton Achilles 15-day DL (4/4)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Padres
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