Sunday, May 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. Andrew Cashner
The New York Mets visit Petco Park on Sunday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Matt Harvey for the Mets and Andrew Cashner for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -145 and San Diego at +135. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mets have a 15-12-1 over/under record and a 13-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Padres are 18-12-0 against the run line and have a 14-15-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
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The Mets head into this matchup with a 17-11 record, including 8-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.56. He has 25 strikeouts over his 34 innings pitched and he has given up 42 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.69 and they have given up 75 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 99 times and walking 29 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.23 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.78. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 241 base hits and 77 earned runs. They have allowed 14 home runs this season and they allow 0.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 66 batters and struck out 256. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 2.60.
As a team, New York is batting .241, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .256 average away from home. The Mets hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.04 hits per game. Neil Walker comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .313. He has 29 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 23 times and has walked 6 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 30 hits so far while scoring 10 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 18 times. The Mets have 225 hits, including 46 doubles and 42 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. New York has walked 98 times this season and they've struck out 231 times as a unit. They've left 196 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 123 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 8-9 home record and a 13-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.85, Andrew Cashner has a 2-2 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 29.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 29 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 100 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 94 times and walking 40 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.19 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 250 base knocks and 120 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 110 hitters and struck out 243. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .226 average at home. The Padres hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 7.9 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .292 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 35 hits this year along with 17 runs scored and 16 RBI. He's struck out 32 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .277 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 33 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 10. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 31 times. The Padres as a unit have 237 base hits, including 48 doubles and 23 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. San Diego as a team has walked 79 times this year and they have struck out 283 times. They've had 189 men left on base and have an OPS of .657. They score 3.67 runs per game and have totaled 110 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 15-12-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 13-15-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 14-15-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 18-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
San Diego Padres
04/23/16 3B Alexi Amarista Hamstring 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/11/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/08/16 P Matt Thornton Achilles 15-day DL (4/4)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Padres
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