Wednesday, May 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Tanner Roark
The New York Mets visit Nationals Park on Wednesday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Steven Matz for the Mets and Tanner Roark for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +101 and Washington at -111. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mets have a 21-22-1 over/under record and a 19-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Nationals are 24-21-0 against the run line and have a 19-21-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 26-18 record, including 13-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 6-1 record with an earned run average of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.06. He has 43 strikeouts over his 41.2 innings pitched and he has given up 36 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.65. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.29 and they have given up 101 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the bullpen while being struck out 144 times and walking 42 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.95 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.05. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 366 base hits and 132 earned runs. They have allowed 27 home runs this season and they allow 0.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 102 batters and struck out 387. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 2.81.
As a team, New York is batting .237, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .250 average away from home. The Mets hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.84 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .284 and his on-base percentage is at .337. He has 46 hits this season along with 13 runs scored and 16 runs batted in. He's struck out 32 times and has walked 7 times. Michael Conforto is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 40 hits so far while scoring 22 runs and he's driven in 24. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 35 times. The Mets have 345 hits, including 67 doubles and 63 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. New York has walked 146 times this season and they've struck out 389 times as a unit. They've left 305 men on base and have a team OPS of .735. They score 3.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 174 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 12-8 home record and a 27-18 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.89, Tanner Roark has a 3-3 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 56 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 48 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.26. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.49 and they have given up 97 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 126 times and walking 40 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.54 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.27 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.88. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 343 base knocks and 131 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 39 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 124 hitters and struck out 422. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.14 while their FIP as a staff is 3.26.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Nationals hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.16 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .252 and he has an OBP of .441. He has 34 hits this year along with 28 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 34 times and has walked on 48 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .389 and he has an OBP of .422. He has collected 65 hits so far while he's scored 25 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 19 times. The Nationals as a unit have 367 base hits, including 71 doubles and 50 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Washington as a team has walked 177 times this year and they have struck out 355 times. They've had 326 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They score 4.27 runs per game and have totaled 192 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 21-22-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 19-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 19-21-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 24-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
05/24/16 SS Wilmer Flores Hamstring 15-day DL
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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