Tuesday, June 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. Joe Ross
The New York Mets visit Nationals Park on Tuesday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Matt Harvey for the Mets and Joe Ross for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +135 and Washington at -145. The over/under was set at 8. The Mets have a 34-39-1 over/under record and a 29-45-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Nationals are 38-38-0 against the run line and have a 38-32-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Mets head into this matchup with a 40-34 record, including 21-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey has a 4-9 record with an earned run average of 4.64 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 69 strikeouts over his 85.1 innings pitched and he has given up 96 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.54. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have given up 188 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen while being struck out 232 times and walking 82 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.23. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 621 base hits and 235 earned runs. They have allowed 60 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 174 batters and struck out 631. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.25.
As a team, New York is batting .232, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Mets hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.69 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .323. He has 71 hits this season along with 30 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 56 times and has walked 18 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .287 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 70 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 45. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 65 times. The Mets have 569 hits, including 113 doubles and 96 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 236 times this season and they've struck out 649 times as a unit. They've left 502 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 3.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 270 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 20-12 home record and a 44-32 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.11, Joe Ross has a 6-4 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 84 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 74 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.7. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.24 and they have given up 167 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 219 times and walking 69 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.59 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.38. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 579 base knocks and 256 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 207 hitters and struck out 727. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.44.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Nationals hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.49 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .249 and he has an OBP of .395. He has 60 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 43 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 60 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .349 and he has an OBP of .391. He has collected 98 hits so far while he's scored 42 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 16 times and has punched out 32 times. The Nationals as a unit have 645 base hits, including 121 doubles and 101 homers. They have 41 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. Washington as a team has walked 260 times this year and they have struck out 588 times. They've had 522 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They score 4.5 runs per game and have totaled 342 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 34-39-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 29-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 38-32-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 38-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/23/16 P Noah Syndergaard Elbow left last start, probable Monday vs. Washington Nationals
06/22/16 P Jim Henderso Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/16/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (6/15)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/26/16 P Stephen Strasburg Back 15-day DL (6/16)
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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