Wednesday, June 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Max Scherzer
The New York Mets head to Nationals Park on Wednesday to take on the Washington Nationals. The probable pitchers are Steven Matz for the Mets and Max Scherzer for the Nationals. The opening line for this game has New York at +152 and Washington at -162. The over/under is 7.5. The Mets have a 35-39-1 over/under mark and a 29-46-0 run line record, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Nationals are 39-38-0 against the run line and have a 39-32-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Mets head into this game with a 40-35 record, and they are 21-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 7-3 record with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 73 strikeouts during his 76.2 innings pitched and he has given up 76 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.93. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have allowed 198 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the pen while they've been struck out 235 times and walked 84 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.6 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 hitters per nine. They are 2nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.34. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 638 base hits and 246 earned runs. They have allowed 60 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 179 batters and struck out 639. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.27.
As a team, New York is hitting .234, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .246 average on the road. The Mets have a .403 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .307 which is good for 25th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.77 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .324. He has 72 hits this season along with 30 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 58 times and has walked 19 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 72 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 45. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 66 times. The Mets have 583 hits, including 114 doubles and 96 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 237 times this season and they've struck out 658 times as a unit. They've left 511 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 3.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 274 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this game with a 21-12 home mark and a 45-32 overall record. With an ERA of 3.52, Max Scherzer has a 8-5 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 138 strikeouts over the 107.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 79 hits. He has allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.84. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.19 and they have given up 171 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 221 times and walking 69 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.59 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 593 base knocks and 260 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 208 hitters and struck out 736. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.16 while their FIP as a staff is 3.44.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Nationals hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.6 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .254 and he has an OBP of .401. He has 62 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 62 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .350 and he has an OBP of .392. He has collected 100 hits so far while he's scored 43 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 16 times and has punched out 32 times. The Nationals as a unit have 662 base hits, including 124 doubles and 101 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. Washington as a team has walked 265 times this year and they have struck out 596 times. They've had 531 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They score 4.58 runs per game and have totaled 353 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 35-39-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 29-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 39-32-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 39-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/27/16 P Steven Matz Elbow "?" for next scheduled start
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/16/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (6/15)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/26/16 P Stephen Strasburg Back 15-day DL (6/16)
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals
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