Monday, September 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rafael Montero vs. Lucas Giolito
The New York Mets head to Nationals Park on Monday to take on the Washington Nationals. The probable pitchers are Rafael Montero for the Mets and Lucas Giolito for the Nationals. The Mets have a 65-74-3 over/under mark and a 67-75-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Nationals are 71-71-0 against the run line and have a 67-67-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Mets head into this game with a 75-67 record, and they are 37-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Rafael Montero has a 0-0 record with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.80. He has 10 strikeouts during his 11.2 innings pitched and he has given up 10 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.37. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have allowed 395 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the pen while they've been struck out 471 times and walked 159 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.69 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 hitters per nine. They are 3rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.58. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 1,220 base hits and 501 earned runs. They have allowed 131 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 377 batters and struck out 1,206. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.56.
As a team, New York is hitting .243, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .250 average on the road. The Mets have a .415 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .311 which is good for 26th in the league. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .325. He has 122 hits this season along with 54 runs scored and 48 runs batted in. He's struck out 95 times and has walked 28 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .293 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 119 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 73. He has walked 43 times and has struck out 96 times. The Mets have 1,153 hits, including 206 doubles and 194 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. New York has walked 435 times this season and they've struck out 1,155 times as a unit. They've left 962 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 3.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 561 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this game with a 43-27 home mark and a 84-58 overall record. With an ERA of 5.59, Lucas Giolito has a 0-1 record and a 1.76 WHIP. He has 10 strikeouts over the 19.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 23 hits. He has allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.30 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 421 times and walking 138 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.75 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.44. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,107 base knocks and 492 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 136 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 402 hitters and struck out 1,300. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.56.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Nationals hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.75 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup batting .345 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 174 hits this year along with 86 runs scored and 101 RBI. He's struck out 55 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Wilson Ramos is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 133 hits so far while he's scored 54 runs and drove in 73. He has earned a walk 33 times and has punched out 70 times. The Nationals as a unit have 1,242 base hits, including 238 doubles and 184 homers. They have 101 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Washington as a team has walked 476 times this year and they have struck out 1,082 times. They've had 986 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They score 4.75 runs per game and have totaled 675 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 65-74-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 67-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 67-67-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 71-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
09/10/16 3B Wilmer Flores Neck injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
09/10/16 P Seth Lugo Finger expected to start Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
09/07/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm out indefinitely
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
09/09/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow out indefinitely
09/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (7/3)
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals
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