Sunday, May 1, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi vs. David Price
The New York Yankees visit Fenway Park on Sunday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Nathan Eovaldi for the Yankees and David Price for the Red Sox. The Yankees have a 8-11-2 over/under record and a 8-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 38% of the time. The Red Sox are 13-10-0 against the run line and have a 12-11-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
The Yankees head into this matchup with a 8-13 record, including 3-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 28 strikeouts over his 24.2 innings pitched and he has given up 23 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 50 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the bullpen while being struck out 82 times and walking 15 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.95 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.34 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 184 base hits and 91 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 45 batters and struck out 192. They walk 2.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.62.
As a team, New York is batting .236, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .217 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .369 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 7.86 hits per game. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this game hitting .247 and his on-base percentage is at .291. He has 20 hits this season along with 6 runs scored and 8 runs batted in. He's struck out 14 times and has walked 5 times. Mark Teixeira is hitting .233 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 17 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 18 times. The Yankees have 165 hits, including 21 doubles and 22 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. New York has walked 70 times this season and they've struck out 151 times as a unit. They've left 147 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 3.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 74 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 6-7 home record and a 13-10 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.76, David Price has a 3-0 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 46 strikeouts over the 29.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.4. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 90 times and walking 36 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.87 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 191 base knocks and 100 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 24 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 90 hitters and struck out 228. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 3.91.
As a team, they are batting .277, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .264 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.74 hits per contest. David Ortiz comes into this matchup batting .307 and he has an OBP of .402. He has 23 hits this year along with 11 runs scored and 18 RBI. He's struck out 14 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .323 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 32 hits so far while he's scored 18 runs and drove in 13. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 16 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 224 base hits, including 64 doubles and 18 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. Boston as a team has walked 73 times this year and they have struck out 182 times. They've had 162 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They score 5.13 runs per game and have totaled 118 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 8-11-2 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 8-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 12-11-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 13-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
04/26/16 CF Aaron Hicks Shoulder out indefinitely
04/13/16 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9 vs Kansas City Royals
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 15-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25); out for season
Boston Red Sox
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/13/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks