Thursday, September 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Masahiro Tanaka vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
The New York Yankees visit Fenway Park on Thursday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Masahiro Tanaka for the Yankees and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -110 and Boston at +100. The over/under was set at 9. The Yankees have a 63-72-9 over/under record and a 71-73-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Red Sox are 74-70-0 against the run line and have a 72-66-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Yankees head into this matchup with a 77-67 record, including 33-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Masahiro Tanaka has a 13-4 record with an earned run average of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 160 strikeouts over his 186.2 innings pitched and he has given up 168 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.22. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen while being struck out 527 times and walking 151 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.96 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 1,213 base hits and 585 earned runs. They have allowed 190 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 372 batters and struck out 1,268. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.
As a team, New York is batting .252, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.49 hits per game. Brett Gardner comes into this game hitting .261 and his on-base percentage is at .348. He has 125 hits this season along with 70 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 98 times and has walked 61 times. Didi Gregorius is hitting .274 and he has an on-base percentage of .302. He has totaled 137 hits so far while scoring 63 runs and he's driven in 65. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 76 times. The Yankees have 1,222 hits, including 215 doubles and 166 home runs. They've stolen 63 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. New York has walked 418 times this season and they've struck out 1,048 times as a unit. They've left 966 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 610 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 42-31 home record and a 81-63 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.70, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 2-7 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 71 strikeouts over the 88 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 81 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.87. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 371 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 447 times and walking 167 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,202 base knocks and 582 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 161 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 437 hitters and struck out 1,202. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.
As a team, they are batting .287, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .305 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.1 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .299 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 176 hits this year along with 104 runs scored and 85 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 189 hits so far while he's scored 108 runs and drove in 104. He has earned a walk 41 times and has punched out 80 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,455 base hits, including 319 doubles and 188 homers. They have 77 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Boston as a team has walked 492 times this year and they have struck out 1,047 times. They've had 1,041 men left on base and have an OPS of .822. They score 5.59 runs per game and have totaled 805 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 63-72-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 71-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 72-66-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 74-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
09/13/16 SS Didi Gregorius Ribs is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
09/13/16 RF Aaron Judge Oblique injured last game, "?" Wednesday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 15-day DL (9/3)
09/06/16 RF Aaron Hicks Hamstring 15-day DL (9/1)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees
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