Thursday, June 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: CC Sabathia vs. Kyle Gibson
The New York Yankees visit Target Field on Thursday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are CC Sabathia for the Yankees and Kyle Gibson for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -138 and Minnesota at +128. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Yankees have a 25-32-7 over/under record and a 30-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Twins are 28-36-0 against the run line and have a 38-22-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
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The Yankees head into this matchup with a 31-33 record, including 13-19 on the road. Starting pitcher CC Sabathia has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 49 strikeouts over his 59.1 innings pitched and he has given up 48 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.33. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.91 and they have given up 160 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 231 times and walking 52 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 549 base hits and 265 earned runs. They have allowed 76 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 149 batters and struck out 553. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.85.
As a team, New York is batting .244, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.11 hits per game. Carlos Beltran comes into this game hitting .277 and his on-base percentage is at .313. He has 62 hits this season along with 35 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 12 times. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .285 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 59 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 21. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 32 times. The Yankees have 519 hits, including 94 doubles and 65 home runs. They've stolen 34 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. New York has walked 186 times this season and they've struck out 437 times as a unit. They've left 414 men on base and have a team OPS of .697. They score 4.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 257 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 12-21 home record and a 20-44 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.49, Kyle Gibson has a 0-4 record and a 1.67 WHIP. He has 13 strikeouts over the 26.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 31 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.49 and they have given up 246 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .277 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 223 times and walking 73 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.16. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 653 base knocks and 325 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 90 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 176 hitters and struck out 494. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Twins hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.36 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .286 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 66 hits this year along with 28 runs scored and 25 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .317 and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 69 hits so far while he's scored 33 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 34 times. The Twins as a unit have 535 base hits, including 102 doubles and 69 homers. They have 42 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 199 times this year and they have struck out 559 times. They've had 456 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They score 3.91 runs per game and have totaled 250 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 25-32-7 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 30-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 38-22-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 28-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
06/15/16 RF Carlos Beltran Knee is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Colorado Rockies
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
06/04/16 1B Mark Teixeira Knee 15-day DL (6/4)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
05/26/16 P Chasen Shreve Shoulder 15-day DL (5/26)
05/25/16 C Gary Sanchez Thumb 15-day DL
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10)
06/10/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)
Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees
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