Sunday, May 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi vs. Jake Odorizzi
The New York Yankees visit Tropicana Field on Sunday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Nathan Eovaldi for the Yankees and Jake Odorizzi for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -113 and Tampa Bay at +103. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Yankees have a 20-23-4 over/under record and a 23-24-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Rays are 21-25-0 against the run line and have a 18-23-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Yankees head into this matchup with a 23-24 record, including 10-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has a 5-2 record with an earned run average of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 50 strikeouts over his 54.2 innings pitched and he has given up 50 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.69. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.44 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen while being struck out 168 times and walking 38 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.95 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 394 base hits and 186 earned runs. They have allowed 57 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 108 batters and struck out 412. They walk 2.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.83.
As a team, New York is batting .236, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .230 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.77 hits per game. Starlin Castro comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .294. He has 46 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 8 times. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 41 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 12 times and has struck out 24 times. The Yankees have 365 hits, including 64 doubles and 49 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. New York has walked 145 times this season and they've struck out 331 times as a unit. They've left 304 men on base and have a team OPS of .685. They score 3.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 183 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 10-14 home record and a 21-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.46, Jake Odorizzi has a 2-2 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 45 strikeouts over the 54.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 50 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.22. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 127 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 127 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 371 base knocks and 179 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 63 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 127 hitters and struck out 387. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.19.
As a team, they are batting .236, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .212 average at home. The Rays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.93 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .247 and he has an OBP of .299. He has 46 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 49 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Steven Souza is hitting .268 and he has an OBP of .324. He has collected 42 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 19. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 60 times. The Rays as a unit have 365 base hits, including 80 doubles and 68 homers. They have 22 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 138 times this year and they have struck out 433 times. They've had 307 men left on base and have an OPS of .733. They score 4.11 runs per game and have totaled 189 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 20-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 23-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 18-23-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 21-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
05/26/16 P Chasen Shreve Shoulder 15-day DL (5/26)
05/25/16 C Gary Sanchez Thumb 15-day DL
05/14/16 P Luis Severino Tricep 15-day DL (5/14)
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tampa Bay Rays
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
05/14/16 2B Logan Forsythe Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Brad Boxberger Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees
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