Saturday, July 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi vs. Drew Smyly
The New York Yankees head to Tropicana Field on Saturday to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are Nathan Eovaldi for the Yankees and Drew Smyly for the Rays. The opening line for this game has New York at +104 and Tampa Bay at -114. The over/under is 7.5. The Yankees have a 41-51-9 over/under mark and a 49-52-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Rays are 42-58-0 against the run line and have a 41-52-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
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The Yankees head into this game with a 52-49 record, and they are 23-27 on the road. Starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has a 9-6 record with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 88 strikeouts during his 110.2 innings pitched and he has given up 115 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.78. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have allowed 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the pen while they've been struck out 367 times and walked 88 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.59 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.95 hitters per nine. They are 13th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.15. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 850 base hits and 411 earned runs. They have allowed 128 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 251 batters and struck out 885. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.
As a team, New York is hitting .249, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average on the road. The Yankees have a .392 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .310 which is good for 23rd in the league. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.36 hits per contest. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .331. He has 91 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 31 runs batted in. He's struck out 47 times and has walked 31 times. Carlos Beltran is hitting .305 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 106 hits so far while scoring 49 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 67 times. The Yankees have 844 hits, including 148 doubles and 103 home runs. They've stolen 48 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. New York has walked 287 times this season and they've struck out 700 times as a unit. They've left 673 men on base and have a team OPS of .702. They score 4.08 runs per contest and have scored a total of 412 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this game with a 19-30 home mark and a 39-61 overall record. With an ERA of 5.42, Drew Smyly has a 2-11 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 111.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 120 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 302 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 260 times and walking 103 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.42 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 872 base knocks and 424 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 127 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 295 hitters and struck out 825. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .230 average at home. The Rays hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.1 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this matchup batting .273 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 79 hits this year along with 42 runs scored and 28 RBI. He's struck out 69 times and has walked on 21 occasions. Evan Longoria is hitting .292 and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 114 hits so far while he's scored 52 runs and drove in 57. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 91 times. The Rays as a unit have 810 base hits, including 171 doubles and 128 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 289 times this year and they have struck out 905 times. They've had 666 men left on base and have an OPS of .723. They score 3.95 runs per game and have totaled 395 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 41-51-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 49-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 41-52-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 42-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tampa Bay Rays
07/04/16 LF Desmond Jennings Hamstring 15-day DL (7/1)
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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