Tuesday, September 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Drew Smyly
The New York Yankees visit Tropicana Field on Tuesday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Michael Pineda for the Yankees and Drew Smyly for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +110 and Tampa Bay at -120. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Yankees have a 66-73-10 over/under record and a 73-76-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Rays are 70-79-0 against the run line and have a 73-68-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Yankees head into this matchup with a 77-72 record, including 33-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has a 6-11 record with an earned run average of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 184 strikeouts over his 160.1 innings pitched and he has given up 171 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.76. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 385 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the bullpen while being struck out 539 times and walking 158 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.86 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 1,259 base hits and 612 earned runs. They have allowed 197 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 388 batters and struck out 1,294. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.13.
As a team, New York is batting .252, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.51 hits per game. Didi Gregorius comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .308. He has 144 hits this season along with 64 runs scored and 66 runs batted in. He's struck out 78 times and has walked 18 times. Brett Gardner is hitting .258 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 128 hits so far while scoring 73 runs and he's driven in 38. He has walked 65 times and has struck out 102 times. The Yankees have 1,268 hits, including 229 doubles and 169 home runs. They've stolen 66 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. New York has walked 430 times this season and they've struck out 1,096 times as a unit. They've left 1,006 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.21 runs per contest and have scored a total of 628 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 35-40 home record and a 64-85 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.98, Drew Smyly has a 7-11 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 159 strikeouts over the 164.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 163 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.53. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 440 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 420 times and walking 178 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,273 base knocks and 609 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 191 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 449 hitters and struck out 1,247. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Rays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.28 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this matchup batting .277 and he has an OBP of .348. He has 127 hits this year along with 71 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 109 times and has walked on 44 occasions. Evan Longoria is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .324. He has collected 163 hits so far while he's scored 78 runs and drove in 94. He has earned a walk 39 times and has punched out 134 times. The Rays as a unit have 1,233 base hits, including 257 doubles and 205 homers. They have 57 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 35 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 424 times this year and they have struck out 1,351 times. They've had 978 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They score 4.24 runs per game and have totaled 632 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 66-73-10 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 73-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 73-68-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 70-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
09/18/16 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Knee "?" Tuesday vs Tampa Bay Rays
09/18/16 2B Starlin Castro Hamstring "?" Tuesday vs Tampa Bay Rays
09/15/16 RF Aaron Judge Oblique expected to miss the rest of the regular season
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 60-day DL (9/3)
09/06/16 RF Aaron Hicks Hamstring 15-day DL (9/1)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tampa Bay Rays
09/17/16 1B Logan Morrison Wrist 60-day DL (9/16)
09/07/16 SS Matt Duffy Heel out for season
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees
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