Friday, May 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Morgan vs. Jon Lester
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Wrigley Field on Friday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Adam Morgan for the Phillies and Jon Lester for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +242 and Chicago at -265. The over/under was set at 8. The Phillies have a 20-25-2 over/under record and a 25-22-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Cubs are 27-18-0 against the run line and have a 26-17-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 26-21 record, including 13-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Morgan has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 5.61 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 15 strikeouts over his 25.2 innings pitched and he has given up 27 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.1. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen while being struck out 145 times and walking 62 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.83 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 375 base hits and 173 earned runs. They have allowed 53 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 133 batters and struck out 410. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.78.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .236, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .364 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.7 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .327 and his on-base percentage is at .440. He has 54 hits this season along with 27 runs scored and 17 runs batted in. He's struck out 35 times and has walked 33 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .260 and he has an on-base percentage of .303. He has totaled 45 hits so far while scoring 13 runs and he's driven in 26. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 33 times. The Phillies have 362 hits, including 64 doubles and 36 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Philadelphia has walked 116 times this season and they've struck out 372 times as a unit. They've left 284 men on base and have a team OPS of .657. They score 3.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 155 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 14-6 home record and a 31-14 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.60, Jon Lester has a 4-3 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 55.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 45 hits. He has allowed 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.09 and they have given up 87 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 135 times and walking 58 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.84 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.72. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 296 base knocks and 124 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 35 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 140 hitters and struck out 400. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.07 while their FIP as a staff is 3.38.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. The Cubs hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .359 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.87 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .234 and he has an OBP of .371. He has 39 hits this year along with 29 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 50 hits so far while he's scored 33 runs and drove in 35. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 40 times. The Cubs as a unit have 399 base hits, including 83 doubles and 52 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Chicago as a team has walked 221 times this year and they have struck out 360 times. They've had 360 men left on base and have an OPS of .783. They score 5.69 runs per game and have totaled 256 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 20-25-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 25-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 26-17-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 27-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 3B Maikel Franco Ankle injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Chicago Cubs
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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