Monday, May 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Vincent Velasquez vs. Mike Pelfrey
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Comerica Park on Monday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies and Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +101 and Detroit at -111. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Phillies have a 18-24-2 over/under record and a 23-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Tigers are 25-18-0 against the run line and have a 28-13-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 25-19 record, including 12-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Vincent Velasquez has a 5-1 record with an earned run average of 2.42 and a WHIP of 0.99. He has 59 strikeouts over his 48.1 innings pitched and he has given up 33 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.42. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 125 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen while being struck out 138 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.95 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 339 base hits and 160 earned runs. They have allowed 49 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 127 batters and struck out 384. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.77.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .230, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .353 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .289 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.44 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .318 and his on-base percentage is at .429. He has 48 hits this season along with 25 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 31 times and has walked 30 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .241 and he has an on-base percentage of .285. He has totaled 38 hits so far while scoring 12 runs and he's driven in 23. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 32 times. The Phillies have 320 hits, including 58 doubles and 31 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Philadelphia has walked 110 times this season and they've struck out 339 times as a unit. They've left 257 men on base and have a team OPS of .641. They score 3.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 137 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 10-10 home record and a 21-22 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.49, Mike Pelfrey has a 0-4 record and a 1.81 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 41 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 56 hits. He has allowed 12.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.8. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 133 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 101 times and walking 43 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.45 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 381 base knocks and 185 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 48 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 136 hitters and struck out 305. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Tigers hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.07 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .338 and he has an OBP of .365. He has 50 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 34 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .316 and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 55 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 11 times and has punched out 29 times. The Tigers as a unit have 381 base hits, including 65 doubles and 54 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Detroit as a team has walked 117 times this year and they have struck out 367 times. They've had 285 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They score 4.5 runs per game and have totaled 189 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-24-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 23-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 28-13-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 25-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers
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