Friday, August 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jeremy Hellickson vs. Christian Friedrich
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Petco Park on Friday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies and Christian Friedrich for the Padres. The Phillies have a 52-55-2 over/under record and a 55-54-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Padres are 66-42-0 against the run line and have a 55-51-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 61% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 50-59 record, including 25-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson has a 8-7 record with an earned run average of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 109 strikeouts over his 131.1 innings pitched and he has given up 122 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.11. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 345 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen while being struck out 332 times and walking 133 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.27 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 973 base hits and 464 earned runs. They have allowed 129 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 296 batters and struck out 887. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .240, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .256 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.02 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .259 and his on-base percentage is at .313. He has 100 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 66 runs batted in. He's struck out 74 times and has walked 29 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .285 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 115 hits so far while scoring 59 runs and he's driven in 37. He has walked 51 times and has struck out 84 times. The Phillies have 874 hits, including 154 doubles and 107 home runs. They've stolen 57 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Philadelphia has walked 268 times this season and they've struck out 870 times as a unit. They've left 680 men on base and have a team OPS of .683. They score 3.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 398 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 26-28 home record and a 47-61 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.72, Christian Friedrich has a 4-6 record and a 1.55 WHIP. He has 59 strikeouts over the 74.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 80 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 353 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 363 times and walking 156 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.05 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 954 base knocks and 481 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 125 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 393 hitters and struck out 864. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .242 average at home. The Padres hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.2 hits per contest. Matt Kemp comes into this matchup batting .260 and he has an OBP of .286. He has 108 hits this year along with 55 runs scored and 70 RBI. He's struck out 102 times and has walked on 18 occasions. Wil Myers is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 111 hits so far while he's scored 70 runs and drove in 66. He has earned a walk 50 times and has punched out 98 times. The Padres as a unit have 886 base hits, including 184 doubles and 126 homers. They have 96 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. San Diego as a team has walked 304 times this year and they have struck out 996 times. They've had 665 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They score 4.43 runs per game and have totaled 478 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-55-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 55-54-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 55-51-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 66-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/04/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 15-day DL (7/29)
08/04/16 P Jeanmar Gomez Personal paternity list
07/28/16 RF Peter Bourjos Shoulder 15-day DL (7/27)
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
San Diego Padres
08/02/16 3B Alexi Amarista Hamstring 15-day DL (8/2)
08/01/16 P Colin Rea Elbow 15-day DL (7/31)
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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