Wednesday, May 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Morgan vs. Mike Leake
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Busch Stadium on Wednesday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Adam Morgan for the Phillies and Mike Leake for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +155 and St. Louis at -165. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Phillies have a 11-13-2 over/under record and a 15-11-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Cardinals are 13-13-0 against the run line and have a 16-8-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this matchup with a 15-11 record, including 7-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Morgan has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.20. He has 7 strikeouts over his 5 innings pitched and he has given up 5 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.47. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 81 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 94 times and walking 35 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.07 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 203 base hits and 102 earned runs. They have allowed 35 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 75 batters and struck out 261. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .231, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .365 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.46 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .250 and his on-base percentage is at .298. He has 24 hits this season along with 7 runs scored and 15 runs batted in. He's struck out 19 times and has walked 6 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .310 and he has an on-base percentage of .450. He has totaled 27 hits so far while scoring 16 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 18 times. The Phillies have 193 hits, including 37 doubles and 21 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Philadelphia has walked 67 times this season and they've struck out 218 times as a unit. They've left 151 men on base and have a team OPS of .651. They score 3.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 85 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 6-7 home record and a 13-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.83, Mike Leake has a 0-3 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 19 strikeouts over the 29.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 33 hits. He has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.68. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 60 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 79 times and walking 32 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.93 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 209 base knocks and 102 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 22 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 83 hitters and struck out 203. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.75.
As a team, they are batting .275, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .280 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .487 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.69 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .234 and he has an OBP of .376. He has 22 hits this year along with 15 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 24 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Yadier Molina is hitting .333 and he has an OBP of .412. He has collected 30 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 10. He has earned a walk 11 times and has punched out 13 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 252 base hits, including 52 doubles and 40 homers. They have 9 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 93 times this year and they have struck out 220 times. They've had 196 men left on base and have an OPS of .836. They score 5.88 runs per game and have totaled 153 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 11-13-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 15-11-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 16-8-2 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 13-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
St. Louis Cardinals
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 SS Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies
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