Saturday, June 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Tanner Roark
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Nationals Park on Saturday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Tanner Roark for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +158 and Washington at -168. The over/under was set at 8. The Phillies have a 26-32-2 over/under record and a 29-31-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Nationals are 30-30-0 against the run line and have a 28-26-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 29-31 record, including 13-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 2.65 and a WHIP of 0.99. He has 85 strikeouts over his 78 innings pitched and he has given up 62 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.73. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen while being struck out 189 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 497 base hits and 231 earned runs. They have allowed 74 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 526. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .231, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .240 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .365 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .286 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.48 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .318 and his on-base percentage is at .422. He has 67 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 18 runs batted in. He's struck out 43 times and has walked 38 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .247 and he has an on-base percentage of .294. He has totaled 53 hits so far while scoring 18 runs and he's driven in 32. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 41 times. The Phillies have 449 hits, including 77 doubles and 51 home runs. They've stolen 26 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Philadelphia has walked 142 times this season and they've struck out 476 times as a unit. They've left 349 men on base and have a team OPS of .651. They score 3.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 192 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 15-11 home record and a 36-24 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.21, Tanner Roark has a 4-4 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 65 strikeouts over the 73 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 64 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.04 and they have given up 130 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 174 times and walking 54 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.44 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.22. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 452 base knocks and 194 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 57 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 169 hitters and struck out 568. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.43.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .242 average at home. The Nationals hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.37 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .257 and he has an OBP of .408. He has 47 hits this year along with 35 runs scored and 37 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .374 and he has an OBP of .413. He has collected 83 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 39. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 27 times. The Nationals as a unit have 502 base hits, including 92 doubles and 82 homers. They have 29 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Washington as a team has walked 208 times this year and they have struck out 463 times. They've had 403 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They score 4.5 runs per game and have totaled 270 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 26-32-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 29-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 28-26-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 30-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/08/16 P Vincent Velasqez Bicep injured last game, "?" next start
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies
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