Sunday, June 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Morgan vs. Joe Ross
The Philadelphia Phillies head to Nationals Park on Sunday to take on the Washington Nationals. The probable pitchers are Adam Morgan for the Phillies and Joe Ross for the Nationals. The opening line for this game has Philadelphia at +212 and Washington at -230. The over/under is 8.5. The Phillies have a 27-32-2 over/under mark and a 29-32-0 run line record, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Nationals are 31-30-0 against the run line and have a 29-26-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this game with a 29-32 record, and they are 13-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Morgan has a 1-5 record with an ERA of 6.70 and a WHIP of 1.49. He has 29 strikeouts during his 41.2 innings pitched and he has given up 52 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 11.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.16. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.05 and they have allowed 177 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the pen while they've been struck out 190 times and walked 83 times this year. As a unit, Philadelphia has given up 8.47 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.82 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.00. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 508 base hits and 240 earned runs. They have allowed 77 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 173 batters and struck out 529. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Philadelphia is hitting .230, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .238 average on the road. The Phillies have a .365 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .286 which is good for 30th in the league. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.46 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .420. He has 67 hits this season along with 33 runs scored and 18 runs batted in. He's struck out 44 times and has walked 39 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .242 and he has an on-base percentage of .289. He has totaled 53 hits so far while scoring 18 runs and he's driven in 32. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 43 times. The Phillies have 455 hits, including 77 doubles and 53 home runs. They've stolen 26 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Philadelphia has walked 145 times this season and they've struck out 489 times as a unit. They've left 352 men on base and have a team OPS of .651. They score 3.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 198 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this game with a 16-11 home mark and a 37-24 overall record. With an ERA of 2.92, Joe Ross has a 5-4 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 51 strikeouts over the 64.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 56 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 177 times and walking 56 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.27. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 458 base knocks and 200 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 172 hitters and struck out 581. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.14 while their FIP as a staff is 3.44.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .246 average at home. The Nationals hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.41 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .254 and he has an OBP of .410. He has 47 hits this year along with 36 runs scored and 37 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 51 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .376 and he has an OBP of .414. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 27 times. The Nationals as a unit have 513 base hits, including 96 doubles and 85 homers. They have 29 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Washington as a team has walked 213 times this year and they have struck out 466 times. They've had 408 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They score 4.57 runs per game and have totaled 279 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 27-32-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 29-32-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 29-26-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 31-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/10/16 P Vincent Velasqez Bicep 15-day DL (6/9)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals
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