Thursday, April 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Juan Nicasio vs. Tyler Chatwood
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Coors Field on Thursday to play the Colorado Rockies. The probable starters are Juan Nicasio for the Pirates and Tyler Chatwood for the Rockies. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -105 and Colorado at -105. The over/under was set at 11.5. The Pirates have a 14-7-0 over/under record and a 11-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Rockies are 11-9-0 against the run line and have a 11-9-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
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The Pirates head into this matchup with a 12-9 record, including 7-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Juan Nicasio has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 21 strikeouts over his 20 innings pitched and he has given up 16 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.6. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen while being struck out 71 times and walking 41 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.13 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 180 base hits and 90 earned runs. They have allowed 28 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 97 batters and struck out 171. They walk 4.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.86.
As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .293, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .291 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .379 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.38 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .238 and his on-base percentage is at .351. He has 19 hits this season along with 15 runs scored and 10 runs batted in. He's struck out 21 times and has walked 12 times. Starling Marte is hitting .322 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 28 hits so far while scoring 12 runs and he's driven in 12. He has walked 3 times and has struck out 20 times. The Pirates have 218 hits, including 50 doubles and 17 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Pittsburgh has walked 92 times this season and they've struck out 159 times as a unit. They've left 184 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 110 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this matchup with a 4-7 home record and a 9-11 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.47, Tyler Chatwood has a 2-2 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 23.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 26 hits. He has allowed 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.04. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.84 and they have given up 82 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 64 times and walking 24 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.96 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.87. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 196 base knocks and 115 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 30 home runs this year and they give up 1.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 62 hitters and struck out 156. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.73.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .285 average at home. The Rockies hold a .468 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.05 hits per contest. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .321 and he has an OBP of .368. He has 26 hits this year along with 14 runs scored and 12 RBI. He's struck out 17 times and has walked on 6 occasions. Nolan Arenado is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 21 hits so far while he's scored 18 runs and drove in 19. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 6 times. The Rockies as a unit have 181 base hits, including 39 doubles and 29 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Colorado as a team has walked 65 times this year and they have struck out 156 times. They've had 124 men left on base and have an OPS of .798. They score 5.2 runs per game and have totaled 104 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 14-7-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 11-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 11-9-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 11-9-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/14/16 P Cory Luebke Hamstring 15-day DL (4/14)
04/04/16 3B Jung-ho Kang Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Jared Hughes Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/27/16 P Jorge DeLaRosa Groin "?" for next scheduled start
04/23/16 P Miguel Castro Shoulder 15-day DL (4/18)
04/14/16 CF Charlie Blackmon Toe 15-day DL (4/14)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jason Motte Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Matzek Personal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 2B Daniel Descalso Hand 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates
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