Tuesday, May 31, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Gerrit Cole vs. Jose Fernandez
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Marlins Park on Tuesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Gerrit Cole for the Pirates and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at +137 and Miami at -128. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Pirates have a 31-17-1 over/under record and a 24-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Marlins are 25-25-0 against the run line and have a 26-23-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Pirates head into this matchup with a 28-21 record, including 13-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 44 strikeouts over his 53.1 innings pitched and he has given up 53 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.15. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 161 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 129 times and walking 71 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.31 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 440 base hits and 201 earned runs. They have allowed 61 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 182 batters and struck out 358. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.65.
As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .283, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .271 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .357 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.96 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .339. He has 50 hits this season along with 33 runs scored and 23 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 22 times. Starling Marte is hitting .321 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 60 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 43 times. The Pirates have 488 hits, including 95 doubles and 48 home runs. They've stolen 37 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 13 times. Pittsburgh has walked 174 times this season and they've struck out 381 times as a unit. They've left 398 men on base and have a team OPS of .792. They score 5.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 247 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 10-13 home record and a 26-24 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.82, Jose Fernandez has a 7-2 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 60.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 47 hits. He has allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 157 times and walking 80 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.25 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 418 base knocks and 194 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 207 hitters and struck out 405. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 3.86.
As a team, they are batting .274, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Marlins hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.46 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .214 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 33 hits this year along with 21 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 61 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .314 and he has an OBP of .414. He has collected 48 hits so far while he's scored 24 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 30 times. The Marlins as a unit have 473 base hits, including 87 doubles and 46 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Miami as a team has walked 146 times this year and they have struck out 385 times. They've had 384 men left on base and have an OPS of .752. They score 4.04 runs per game and have totaled 202 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 31-17-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 24-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 26-23-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 25-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Arquimedes Caminero Quad 15-day DL (5/25)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 15-day DL (5/24)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/30/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Side is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Monday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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