Thursday, June 2, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Juan Nicasio vs. Wei-Yin Chen
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Marlins Park on Thursday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Juan Nicasio for the Pirates and Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at +110 and Miami at -120. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Pirates have a 32-18-1 over/under record and a 25-26-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Marlins are 26-26-0 against the run line and have a 27-24-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Pirates head into this matchup with a 29-22 record, including 14-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Juan Nicasio has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 4.79 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 47 strikeouts over his 47 innings pitched and he has given up 47 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.54. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 162 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 130 times and walking 71 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.16 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 453 base hits and 204 earned runs. They have allowed 61 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 184 batters and struck out 364. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.59.
As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .283, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .272 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.94 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .257 and his on-base percentage is at .339. He has 52 hits this season along with 34 runs scored and 23 runs batted in. He's struck out 52 times and has walked 23 times. Starling Marte is hitting .325 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 63 hits so far while scoring 27 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 45 times. The Pirates have 507 hits, including 98 doubles and 50 home runs. They've stolen 38 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Pittsburgh has walked 177 times this season and they've struck out 398 times as a unit. They've left 405 men on base and have a team OPS of .789. They score 5.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 258 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 11-14 home record and a 27-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.37, Wei-Yin Chen has a 3-2 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 50 strikeouts over the 59.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 63 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.84. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have given up 159 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 164 times and walking 83 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.26 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 437 base knocks and 205 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 210 hitters and struck out 422. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 3.85.
As a team, they are batting .272, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Marlins hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.35 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .214 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 33 hits this year along with 21 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 61 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .314 and he has an OBP of .415. He has collected 50 hits so far while he's scored 25 runs and drove in 21. He has earned a walk 26 times and has punched out 31 times. The Marlins as a unit have 486 base hits, including 89 doubles and 46 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Miami as a team has walked 148 times this year and they have struck out 391 times. They've had 394 men left on base and have an OPS of .742. They score 3.94 runs per game and have totaled 205 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 32-18-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 25-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 27-24-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 26-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Arquimedes Caminero Quad 15-day DL (5/25)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 15-day DL (5/24)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 SS Miguel Rojas Shoulder "?" Wednesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
05/31/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Side "?" Wednesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks