Tuesday, September 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Brault vs. Matt Garza
The Pittsburgh Pirates head to Miller Park on Tuesday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Steven Brault for the Pirates and Matt Garza for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Pittsburgh at -105 and Milwaukee at -105. The over/under is 9. The Pirates have a 83-63-3 over/under mark and a 70-79-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Brewers are 82-68-0 against the run line and have a 70-72-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Pirates head into this game with a 74-75 record, and they are 38-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Brault has a 0-3 record with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.66. He has 22 strikeouts during his 27.2 innings pitched and he has given up 34 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 11.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.48. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have allowed 500 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the pen while they've been struck out 478 times and walked 210 times this year. As a unit, Pittsburgh has given up 9.2 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 hitters per nine. They are 16th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.18. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 1,369 base hits and 622 earned runs. They have allowed 166 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 487 batters and struck out 1,116. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.
As a team, Pittsburgh is hitting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .246 average on the road. The Pirates have a .405 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .334 which is good for 4th in the league. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.85 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this game hitting .311 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 151 hits this season along with 71 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 103 times and has walked 23 times. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .252 and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 139 hits so far while scoring 78 runs and he's driven in 72. He has walked 64 times and has struck out 135 times. The Pirates have 1,319 hits, including 263 doubles and 143 home runs. They've stolen 103 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 43 times. Pittsburgh has walked 519 times this season and they've struck out 1,213 times as a unit. They've left 1,077 men on base and have a team OPS of .739. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 682 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 39-36 home mark and a 68-82 overall record. With an ERA of 4.22, Matt Garza has a 5-7 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 64 strikeouts over the 91.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 103 hits. He has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.48. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 482 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 450 times and walking 200 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,336 base knocks and 605 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 168 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 501 hitters and struck out 1,092. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Brewers hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.03 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .286 and he has an OBP of .368. He has 156 hits this year along with 83 runs scored and 55 RBI. He's struck out 164 times and has walked on 71 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 147 hits so far while he's scored 77 runs and drove in 88. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 92 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,205 base hits, including 230 doubles and 180 homers. They have 166 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 50 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 566 times this year and they have struck out 1,429 times. They've had 1,000 men left on base and have an OPS of .732. They score 4.19 runs per game and have totaled 628 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 83-63-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 70-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-72-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 82-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/18/16 LF Starling Marte Back "?" Tuesday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/14/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 60-day DL (9/13)
09/14/16 C Elias Diaz Knee 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/14/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/12/16 2B Josh Harrison Groin 15-day DL (9/10), out for season
09/18/16 P Junior Guerra None out for season
09/16/16 CF Keon Broxton Wrist out for season
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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