Thursday, September 22, 2016

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Ryan Vogelsong vs. Chase Anderson

The Pittsburgh Pirates head to Miller Park on Thursday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Ryan Vogelsong for the Pirates and Chase Anderson for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Pittsburgh at -102 and Milwaukee at -108. The over/under is 9.5. The Pirates have a 83-63-4 over/under mark and a 71-79-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Brewers are 82-69-0 against the run line and have a 70-72-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Pirates head into this game with a 75-75 record, and they are 39-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Ryan Vogelsong has a 3-5 record with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.46. He has 48 strikeouts during his 68.1 innings pitched and he has given up 70 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.08. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.42 and they have allowed 502 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the pen while they've been struck out 485 times and walked 211 times this year. As a unit, Pittsburgh has given up 9.18 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.52 hitters per nine. They are 17th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.17. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 1,376 base hits and 625 earned runs. They have allowed 167 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 490 batters and struck out 1,127. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.

As a team, Pittsburgh is hitting .259, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .248 average on the road. The Pirates have a .405 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .334 which is good for 4th in the league. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.88 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this game hitting .311 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 151 hits this season along with 71 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 103 times and has walked 23 times. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .254 and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 141 hits so far while scoring 78 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 64 times and has struck out 136 times. The Pirates have 1,332 hits, including 266 doubles and 143 home runs. They've stolen 104 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 43 times. Pittsburgh has walked 521 times this season and they've struck out 1,221 times as a unit. They've left 1,083 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 688 runs so far this year.

Milwaukee comes into this game with a 39-37 home mark and a 68-83 overall record. With an ERA of 4.47, Chase Anderson has a 8-11 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 141 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 143 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.70 and they have given up 487 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 455 times and walking 200 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,349 base knocks and 611 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 168 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 503 hitters and struck out 1,100. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Brewers hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.03 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 156 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 55 RBI. He's struck out 165 times and has walked on 72 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 147 hits so far while he's scored 77 runs and drove in 88. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 92 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,212 base hits, including 231 doubles and 181 homers. They have 167 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 50 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 569 times this year and they have struck out 1,440 times. They've had 1,006 men left on base and have an OPS of .731. They score 4.18 runs per game and have totaled 631 runs so far this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 83-63-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 71-79-0 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-72-9 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 82-69-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

09/20/16 LF Starling Marte Back is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/14/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 60-day DL (9/13)
09/14/16 C Elias Diaz Knee 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/14/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/12/16 2B Josh Harrison Groin 15-day DL (9/10), out for season

Milwaukee Brewers

09/20/16 C Andrew Susac Food Poisoning "?" Wednesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
09/18/16 P Junior Guerra None out for season
09/16/16 CF Keon Broxton Wrist out for season
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn