Saturday, October 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Clayton Richard vs. Archie Bradley
The San Diego Padres visit Chase Field on Saturday to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable starters are Clayton Richard for the Padres and Archie Bradley for the Diamondbacks. The Padres have a 79-75-5 over/under record and a 93-66-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Diamondbacks are 65-94-0 against the run line and have a 88-65-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
The Padres head into this matchup with a 68-91 record, including 29-49 on the road. Starting pitcher Clayton Richard has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.61. He has 40 strikeouts over his 63.1 innings pitched and he has given up 75 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.87. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen while being struck out 511 times and walking 223 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 1,400 base hits and 694 earned runs. They have allowed 178 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 561 batters and struck out 1,204. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.
As a team, San Diego is batting .235, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .228 average away from home. The Padres hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.85 hits per game. Jon Jay comes into this game hitting .290 and his on-base percentage is at .339. He has 99 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 75 times and has walked 19 times. Wil Myers is hitting .256 and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 150 hits so far while scoring 96 runs and he's driven in 93. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 159 times. The Padres have 1,248 hits, including 248 doubles and 176 home runs. They've stolen 125 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 45 times. San Diego has walked 446 times this season and they've struck out 1,472 times as a unit. They've left 944 men on base and have a team OPS of .690. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 676 runs so far this year.
Arizona comes into this matchup with a 30-48 home record and a 66-93 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.15, Archie Bradley has a 7-9 record and a 1.59 WHIP. He has 132 strikeouts over the 134.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 147 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.31. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 575 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 509 times and walking 259 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.15 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,536 base knocks and 811 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 201 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a staff has walked 600 hitters and struck out 1,290. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 4.55.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Diamondbacks hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.14 hits per contest. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this matchup batting .299 and he has an OBP of .412. He has 170 hits this year along with 103 runs scored and 93 RBI. He's struck out 147 times and has walked on 108 occasions. Jean Segura is hitting .320 and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 201 hits so far while he's scored 98 runs and drove in 64. He has earned a walk 36 times and has punched out 100 times. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 1,454 base hits, including 282 doubles and 185 homers. They have 131 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 30 times. Arizona as a team has walked 455 times this year and they have struck out 1,409 times. They've had 1,102 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They score 4.62 runs per game and have totaled 735 runs so far this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 79-75-5 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 93-66-0 against the run line so far this season
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 88-65-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 65-94-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
San Diego Padres
09/01/16 C Christian Bethancourt Ribs 15-day DL (8/31)
08/23/16 RF Jabari Blash Finger 15-day DL (8/19)
08/07/16 P Erik Johnson Elbow 60-day DL (7/4), out for season
08/01/16 P Colin Rea Elbow 15-day DL (7/31), out for season
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 60-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (4/5)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
09/29/16 SS Jean Segura Back left last game, "?" Friday vs. San Diego Padres
09/29/16 RF Yasmany Tomas Neck "?" Friday vs. San Diego Padres
09/26/16 P Zack Greinke Shoulder out for season
09/16/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow out for season
09/11/16 CF A.J. Pollock Groin out indefinitely
09/10/16 C Chris Herrmann Hand out indefinitely
08/07/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 60-day DL (8/6), out for season
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 60-day DL (7/23); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Padres
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