Wednesday, May 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Taijuan Walker vs. Chris Tillman
The Seattle Mariners visit Oriole Park on Wednesday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Taijuan Walker for the Mariners and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +120 and Baltimore at -130. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mariners have a 14-19-4 over/under record and a 18-19-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Orioles are 20-16-0 against the run line and have a 16-18-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this matchup with a 21-16 record, including 13-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Taijuan Walker has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 38 strikeouts over his 37.2 innings pitched and he has given up 35 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.1. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.92 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .198 against the bullpen while being struck out 126 times and walking 41 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.87 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 292 base hits and 125 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 110 batters and struck out 321. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.88.
As a team, Seattle is batting .245, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.3 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .265 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 35 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 21 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 16 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 45 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 34. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 24 times. The Mariners have 307 hits, including 49 doubles and 50 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Seattle has walked 122 times this season and they've struck out 292 times as a unit. They've left 249 men on base and have a team OPS of .733. They score 4.46 runs per contest and have scored a total of 165 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 16-6 home record and a 23-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.58, Chris Tillman has a 5-1 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 47 strikeouts over the 45.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.63. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.32 and they have given up 97 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 110 times and walking 43 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.79 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.53. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 298 base knocks and 125 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 26 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 114 hitters and struck out 276. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 3.65.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .273 average at home. The Orioles hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.17 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .387. He has 50 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 25 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .307 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 43 hits so far while he's scored 21 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 39 times. The Orioles as a unit have 330 base hits, including 65 doubles and 55 homers. They have 5 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 112 times this year and they have struck out 290 times. They've had 236 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They score 4.72 runs per game and have totaled 170 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 14-19-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 18-19-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 16-18-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 20-16-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/07/16 P Taijuan Walker Neck "?" for next scheduled start
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Joaquin Benoit Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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