Friday, May 20, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Hisashi Iwakuma vs. Dan Straily
The Seattle Mariners visit Great American Ball Park on Friday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Hisashi Iwakuma for the Mariners and Dan Straily for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at -130 and Cincinnati at +120. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mariners have a 15-20-4 over/under record and a 19-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Reds are 20-20-0 against the run line and have a 23-14-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this matchup with a 22-17 record, including 14-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Hisashi Iwakuma has a 1-4 record with an earned run average of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 38 strikeouts over his 49.1 innings pitched and he has given up 55 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.85 and they have given up 83 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .195 against the bullpen while being struck out 129 times and walking 42 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.41 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.31. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 302 base hits and 129 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 116 batters and struck out 328. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.
As a team, Seattle is batting .246, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.36 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .283 and his on-base percentage is at .382. He has 39 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 35 times and has walked 18 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .301 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 49 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 36. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 25 times. The Mariners have 326 hits, including 55 doubles and 53 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Seattle has walked 131 times this season and they've struck out 308 times as a unit. They've left 264 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 177 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 12-11 home record and a 15-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.05, Dan Straily has a 2-1 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 36 strikeouts over the 41.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.59. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.43 and they have given up 155 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 131 times and walking 85 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.39 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.55. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 376 base knocks and 217 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 178 hitters and struck out 289. They give up a walk 4.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.57 while their FIP as a staff is 5.69.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Reds hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.75 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .214 and he has an OBP of .356. He has 28 hits this year along with 17 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 43 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .320 and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 39 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 17 times. The Reds as a unit have 310 base hits, including 70 doubles and 43 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 97 times this year and they have struck out 322 times. They've had 209 men left on base and have an OPS of .695. They score 4.17 runs per game and have totaled 167 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 15-20-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 19-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 23-14-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 20-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners
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