Monday, June 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Nate Karns vs. Mike Pelfrey
The Seattle Mariners visit Comerica Park on Monday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Nate Karns for the Mariners and Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at -115 and Detroit at +105. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Mariners have a 33-30-5 over/under record and a 33-35-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Tigers are 38-30-0 against the run line and have a 40-24-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this matchup with a 36-32 record, including 21-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Nate Karns has a 5-2 record with an earned run average of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.42. He has 75 strikeouts over his 71 innings pitched and he has given up 68 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 174 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the bullpen while being struck out 234 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 570 base hits and 253 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 203 batters and struck out 585. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.
As a team, Seattle is batting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .271 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.99 hits per game. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .290 and his on-base percentage is at .377. He has 73 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 70 times and has walked 31 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 84 hits so far while scoring 51 runs and he's driven in 53. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 43 times. The Mariners have 611 hits, including 99 doubles and 101 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Seattle has walked 218 times this season and they've struck out 517 times as a unit. They've left 450 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 340 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 17-13 home record and a 34-34 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.79, Mike Pelfrey has a 1-7 record and a 1.70 WHIP. He has 35 strikeouts over the 71.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 91 hits. He has allowed 11.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.36. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 221 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .279 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 169 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 620 base knocks and 308 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 214 hitters and struck out 485. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .272, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .282 average at home. The Tigers hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.43 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .304 and he has an OBP of .338. He has 75 hits this year along with 34 runs scored and 39 RBI. He's struck out 67 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .307 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 84 hits so far while he's scored 58 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 50 times. The Tigers as a unit have 641 base hits, including 115 doubles and 87 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Detroit as a team has walked 199 times this year and they have struck out 578 times. They've had 467 men left on base and have an OPS of .775. They score 4.79 runs per game and have totaled 326 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 33-30-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 33-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 40-24-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 38-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/17/16 P Wade Miley Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
06/17/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 15-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners
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