Friday, July 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Marco Estrada
The Seattle Mariners visit Rogers Centre on Friday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are James Paxton for the Mariners and Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +145 and Toronto at -155. The over/under was set at 9. The Mariners have a 45-45-5 over/under record and a 47-48-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Blue Jays are 51-45-0 against the run line and have a 38-53-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Mariners head into this matchup with a 48-47 record, including 23-24 on the road. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.63. He has 46 strikeouts over his 53.1 innings pitched and he has given up 72 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.24. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 257 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 343 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.42 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 831 base hits and 377 earned runs. They have allowed 123 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 277 batters and struck out 796. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.
As a team, Seattle is batting .260, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .266 average away from home. The Mariners hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.92 hits per game. Robinson Cano comes into this game hitting .304 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 118 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 60 runs batted in. He's struck out 63 times and has walked 29 times. Nelson Cruz is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 98 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 58. He has walked 40 times and has struck out 96 times. The Mariners have 847 hits, including 148 doubles and 138 home runs. They've stolen 26 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Seattle has walked 298 times this season and they've struck out 748 times as a unit. They've left 631 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 451 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 27-20 home record and a 54-42 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.93, Marco Estrada has a 5-3 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 99 strikeouts over the 104.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 64 hits. He has allowed 5.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.12. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 254 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 254 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.77 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 800 base knocks and 364 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 264 hitters and struck out 748. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.66 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .266 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 94 hits this year along with 60 runs scored and 86 RBI. He's struck out 80 times and has walked on 48 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .421. He has collected 110 hits so far while he's scored 85 runs and drove in 70. He has earned a walk 65 times and has punched out 69 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 831 base hits, including 169 doubles and 137 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Toronto as a team has walked 368 times this year and they have struck out 792 times. They've had 666 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They score 4.98 runs per game and have totaled 478 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 45-45-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 47-48-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 38-53-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 51-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Toronto Blue Jays
07/21/16 RF Ezequiel Carrera Achilles probable Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
07/21/16 P Marco Estrada Back 15-day DL (7/3); expected to be activated & start Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
07/21/16 LF Michael Saunders Personal missed last game, probable Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
07/02/16 2B Ryan Goins Forearm 15-day DL (7/2)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 15-day DL (6/26)
06/17/16 RF Jose Bautista Toe 15-day DL (6/17)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Shoulder 60-day DL (4/7)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners
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