Sunday, September 4, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Carlos Martinez vs. Tim Adleman
The St. Louis Cardinals visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Carlos Martinez for the Cardinals and Tim Adleman for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at -158 and Cincinnati at +148. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Cardinals have a 72-55-6 over/under record and a 61-72-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 71-62-0 against the run line and have a 72-51-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 70-63 record, including 40-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Carlos Martinez has a 12-7 record with an earned run average of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 137 strikeouts over his 158.1 innings pitched and he has given up 129 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.55. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.44 and they have given up 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 404 times and walking 154 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.65 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.93 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 1,148 base hits and 529 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 385 batters and struck out 1,053. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.82.
As a team, St. Louis is batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.84 hits per game. Stephen Piscotty comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .346. He has 132 hits this season along with 73 runs scored and 73 runs batted in. He's struck out 106 times and has walked 45 times. Aledmys Diaz is hitting .312 and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 110 hits so far while scoring 64 runs and he's driven in 57. He has walked 34 times and has struck out 54 times. The Cardinals have 1,177 hits, including 248 doubles and 191 home runs. They've stolen 30 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. St. Louis has walked 441 times this season and they've struck out 1,079 times as a unit. They've left 934 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 652 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 33-33 home record and a 56-77 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.82, Tim Adleman has a 2-2 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 35.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.01. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have given up 465 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 428 times and walking 242 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.65 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,205 base knocks and 654 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 216 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 513 hitters and struck out 1,008. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 5.27.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.45 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .309 and he has an OBP of .430. He has 137 hits this year along with 83 runs scored and 78 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 94 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .259 and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 113 hits so far while he's scored 65 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 34 times and has punched out 76 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,123 base hits, including 225 doubles and 143 homers. They have 118 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 40 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 379 times this year and they have struck out 1,076 times. They've had 809 men left on base and have an OPS of .718. They score 4.44 runs per game and have totaled 590 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 72-55-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 61-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 72-51-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 71-62-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
08/30/16 P Mike Leake Skin Rash 15-day DL (8/22)
08/17/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 15-day DL (8/14)
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/10/16 P Michael Wacha Shoulder 15-day DL (8/9)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
08/02/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Thumb 15-day DL (8/1)
07/27/16 P Trevor Rosenthal Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 60-day DL (7/7)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
09/02/16 1B Joey Votto Neck "?" Saturday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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