Friday, September 2, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Alex Reyes vs. Anthony DeSclafani
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The St. Louis Cardinals head to Great American Ball Park on Friday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Alex Reyes for the Cardinals and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds. The opening line for this game has St. Louis at -118 and Cincinnati at +108. The over/under is 9. The Cardinals have a 72-54-6 over/under mark and a 61-71-0 run line record, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 70-62-0 against the run line and have a 72-50-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Cardinals head into this game with a 70-62 record, and they are 40-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Alex Reyes has a 1-0 record with an ERA of 0.64 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 17 strikeouts during his 14 innings pitched and he has given up 7 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 4.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.43. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have allowed 334 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the pen while they've been struck out 401 times and walked 149 times this year. As a unit, St. Louis has given up 8.63 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.91 hitters per nine. They are 11th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.99. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 1,137 base hits and 526 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 378 batters and struck out 1,043. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.81.
As a team, St. Louis is hitting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .257 average on the road. The Cardinals have a .447 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .327 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.86 hits per contest. Aledmys Diaz comes into this game hitting .312 and his on-base percentage is at .376. He has 110 hits this season along with 64 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 34 times. Stephen Piscotty is hitting .276 and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 132 hits so far while scoring 73 runs and he's driven in 73. He has walked 45 times and has struck out 106 times. The Cardinals have 1,171 hits, including 246 doubles and 189 home runs. They've stolen 30 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. St. Louis has walked 439 times this season and they've struck out 1,075 times as a unit. They've left 929 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 650 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this game with a 32-33 home mark and a 55-77 overall record. With an ERA of 2.96, Anthony DeSclafani has a 8-2 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 84 strikeouts over the 94.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 89 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.5. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have given up 465 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 427 times and walking 241 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.67 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,199 base knocks and 652 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 214 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 511 hitters and struck out 1,004. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 5.26.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.43 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .258 and he has an OBP of .308. He has 112 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 47 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Joey Votto is hitting .309 and he has an OBP of .430. He has collected 137 hits so far while he's scored 83 runs and drove in 78. He has earned a walk 94 times and has punched out 110 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,112 base hits, including 223 doubles and 143 homers. They have 114 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 39 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 372 times this year and they have struck out 1,066 times. They've had 795 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They score 4.45 runs per game and have totaled 587 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 72-54-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 61-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 72-50-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 70-62-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
08/30/16 P Mike Leake Skin Rash 15-day DL (8/22)
08/17/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 15-day DL (8/14)
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/11/16 1B Matt Adams Shoulder 15-day DL (8/10)
08/10/16 P Michael Wacha Shoulder 15-day DL (8/9)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
08/02/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Thumb 15-day DL (8/1)
07/27/16 P Trevor Rosenthal Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 60-day DL (7/7)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/29/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep "?" for next scheduled start
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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