Monday, June 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Wainwright vs. Danny Duffy
The St. Louis Cardinals visit Kauffman Stadium on Monday to play the Kansas City Royals. The probable starters are Adam Wainwright for the Cardinals and Danny Duffy for the Royals. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at +108 and Kansas City at -118. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Cardinals have a 41-29-3 over/under record and a 39-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Royals are 40-33-0 against the run line and have a 33-36-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
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The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 38-35 record, including 23-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Wainwright has a 6-4 record with an earned run average of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 65 strikeouts over his 91.1 innings pitched and he has given up 95 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.8. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 172 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen while being struck out 211 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.62 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 600 base hits and 286 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 207 batters and struck out 549. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.85.
As a team, St. Louis is batting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .265 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.99 hits per game. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .296 and his on-base percentage is at .417. He has 73 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 52 times and has walked 50 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .261 and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 65 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 34 times. The Cardinals have 657 hits, including 139 doubles and 95 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. St. Louis has walked 249 times this season and they've struck out 566 times as a unit. They've left 514 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 5.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 381 runs so far this year.
Kansas City comes into this matchup with a 25-10 home record and a 38-35 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.38, Danny Duffy has a 2-1 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 71 strikeouts over the 58.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 50 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.80 and they have given up 217 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Royals bullpen while being struck out 242 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.65 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.25 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 617 base knocks and 299 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 97 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a staff has walked 242 hitters and struck out 588. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.53.
As a team, they are batting .276, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .290 average at home. The Royals hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.45 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .307 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 85 hits this year along with 40 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .281 and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 77 hits so far while he's scored 36 runs and drove in 38. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 63 times. The Royals as a unit have 690 base hits, including 126 doubles and 65 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Kansas City as a team has walked 167 times this year and they have struck out 528 times. They've had 498 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They score 4.04 runs per game and have totaled 295 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 41-29-3 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 39-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 33-36-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 40-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
06/25/16 1B Matt Adams Back "?" Sunday vs. Seattle Mariners
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
Kansas City Royals
05/26/16 3B Mike Moustakas Knee 60-day DL (5/23); out for season
05/12/16 P Kris Medlen Shoulder 15-day DL (5/11)
04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15)
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
03/31/16 P Jason Vargas Elbow 60-day DL (3/15)
Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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