Sunday, July 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Leake vs. Junior Guerra
The St. Louis Cardinals head to Miller Park on Sunday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Mike Leake for the Cardinals and Junior Guerra for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has St. Louis at -105 and Milwaukee at -105. The over/under is 8.5. The Cardinals have a 45-37-4 over/under mark and a 44-42-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Brewers are 44-41-0 against the run line and have a 42-39-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Cardinals head into this game with a 44-42 record, and they are 25-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Leake has a 5-7 record with an ERA of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 66 strikeouts during his 104 innings pitched and he has given up 111 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.26. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have allowed 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the pen while they've been struck out 243 times and walked 93 times this year. As a unit, St. Louis has given up 8.52 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.68 hitters per nine. They are 9th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.93. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 726 base hits and 335 earned runs. They have allowed 78 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 243 batters and struck out 655. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.85.
As a team, St. Louis is hitting .260, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .266 average on the road. The Cardinals have a .441 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .333 which is good for 7th in the league. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.99 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this game hitting .298 and his on-base percentage is at .420. He has 85 hits this season along with 56 runs scored and 53 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 58 times. Yadier Molina is hitting .257 and he has an on-base percentage of .324. He has totaled 74 hits so far while scoring 29 runs and he's driven in 28. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 37 times. The Cardinals have 774 hits, including 160 doubles and 112 home runs. They've stolen 20 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. St. Louis has walked 298 times this season and they've struck out 663 times as a unit. They've left 616 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 5.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 442 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 23-20 home mark and a 38-47 overall record. With an ERA of 2.93, Junior Guerra has a 6-1 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 67 strikeouts over the 76.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 55 hits. He has allowed 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.55. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 286 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 266 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.38 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.47. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 777 base knocks and 374 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 105 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 298 hitters and struck out 617. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.69.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Brewers hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .318 and he has an OBP of .373. He has 87 hits this year along with 35 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 46 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .302 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 87 hits so far while he's scored 42 runs and drove in 41. He has earned a walk 27 times and has punched out 58 times. The Brewers as a unit have 690 base hits, including 132 doubles and 89 homers. They have 73 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 313 times this year and they have struck out 806 times. They've had 583 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They score 4 runs per game and have totaled 340 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 45-37-4 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 44-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 42-39-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 44-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
07/09/16 P Michael Wacha Heel injured last game, probable next start
07/09/16 LF Matt Holliday Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
07/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique 15-day DL (7/7)
07/06/16 1B Brandon Moss Ankle 15-day DL (7/5)
07/02/16 P Kevin Siegrist Mononucleosis 15-day DL (6/30)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
07/09/16 C Jonathan Lucroy Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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