Monday, July 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Carlos Martinez vs. Noah Syndergaard
The St. Louis Cardinals visit Citi Field on Monday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Carlos Martinez for the Cardinals and Noah Syndergaard for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at +131 and New York at -141. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Cardinals have a 50-42-5 over/under record and a 50-47-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Mets are 40-56-0 against the run line and have a 40-53-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 52-45 record, including 27-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Carlos Martinez has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 96 strikeouts over his 114.1 innings pitched and he has given up 92 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.53. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen while being struck out 282 times and walking 104 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.85 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 820 base hits and 368 earned runs. They have allowed 86 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 268 batters and struck out 762. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.71.
As a team, St. Louis is batting .259, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .267 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.97 hits per game. Yadier Molina comes into this game hitting .260 and his on-base percentage is at .328. He has 82 hits this season along with 33 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 38 times and has walked 30 times. Matt Carpenter is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 85 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 53. He has walked 58 times and has struck out 61 times. The Cardinals have 871 hits, including 182 doubles and 135 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. St. Louis has walked 334 times this season and they've struck out 757 times as a unit. They've left 690 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 5.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 498 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 26-20 home record and a 51-45 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.43, Noah Syndergaard has a 9-4 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 136 strikeouts over the 111.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 103 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.14 and they have given up 247 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 304 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.53 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 813 base knocks and 319 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 243 hitters and struck out 807. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.48.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .232 average at home. The Mets hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.9 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .299 and he has an OBP of .371. He has 91 hits this year along with 48 runs scored and 55 RBI. He's struck out 80 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .263 and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 91 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 31. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 75 times. The Mets as a unit have 758 base hits, including 144 doubles and 129 homers. They have 23 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. New York as a team has walked 300 times this year and they have struck out 813 times. They've had 661 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They score 3.74 runs per game and have totaled 359 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 50-42-5 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 50-47-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 40-53-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 40-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
07/19/16 3B Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (7/18)
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
07/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique 15-day DL (7/7)
07/06/16 1B Brandon Moss Ankle 15-day DL (7/5)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
New York Mets
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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