Wednesday, July 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Wainwright vs. Logan Verrett
The St. Louis Cardinals visit Citi Field on Wednesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Adam Wainwright for the Cardinals and Logan Verrett for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at -134 and New York at +124. The over/under was set at 8. The Cardinals have a 51-42-5 over/under record and a 50-48-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 41-56-0 against the run line and have a 40-54-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 52-46 record, including 27-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Wainwright has a 9-5 record with an earned run average of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 99 strikeouts over his 125.1 innings pitched and he has given up 127 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.23. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.44 and they have given up 230 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen while being struck out 288 times and walking 109 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 833 base hits and 377 earned runs. They have allowed 88 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 275 batters and struck out 769. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.74.
As a team, St. Louis is batting .259, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .267 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.96 hits per game. Yadier Molina comes into this game hitting .261 and his on-base percentage is at .328. He has 83 hits this season along with 34 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 38 times and has walked 30 times. Matt Carpenter is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 85 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 53. He has walked 58 times and has struck out 61 times. The Cardinals have 879 hits, including 185 doubles and 136 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. St. Louis has walked 336 times this season and they've struck out 765 times as a unit. They've left 694 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 5.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 504 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 26-20 home record and a 52-45 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.14, Logan Verrett has a 3-6 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 44 strikeouts over the 67.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 68 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have given up 248 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 307 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.36. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 818 base knocks and 319 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 245 hitters and struck out 816. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.46.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .232 average at home. The Mets hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.88 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .299 and he has an OBP of .370. He has 92 hits this year along with 48 runs scored and 56 RBI. He's struck out 82 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 91 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 31. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 75 times. The Mets as a unit have 764 base hits, including 144 doubles and 129 homers. They have 23 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. New York as a team has walked 303 times this year and they have struck out 821 times. They've had 668 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 3.73 runs per game and have totaled 362 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 51-42-5 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 50-48-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 40-54-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 41-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
07/19/16 3B Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (7/18)
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
07/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique 15-day DL (7/7)
07/06/16 1B Brandon Moss Ankle 15-day DL (7/5)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
New York Mets
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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