Sunday, September 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Wade Miley
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Oriole Park on Sunday to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are Jake Odorizzi for the Rays and Wade Miley for the Orioles. The Rays have a 73-66-8 over/under mark and a 68-79-0 run line record, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Orioles are 77-70-0 against the run line and have a 65-78-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Rays head into this game with a 63-84 record, and they are 28-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 9-6 record with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 152 strikeouts during his 172.2 innings pitched and he has given up 158 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.28. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have allowed 436 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the pen while they've been struck out 416 times and walked 176 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 8.75 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 hitters per nine. They are 17th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.21. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 1,258 base hits and 605 earned runs. They have allowed 189 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 447 batters and struck out 1,237. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .246, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .255 average on the road. The Rays have a .431 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .311 which is good for 27th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.31 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .324. He has 160 hits this season along with 75 runs scored and 93 runs batted in. He's struck out 132 times and has walked 39 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .280 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 127 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 51. He has walked 43 times and has struck out 107 times. The Rays have 1,221 hits, including 255 doubles and 203 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Tampa Bay has walked 419 times this season and they've struck out 1,333 times as a unit. They've left 965 men on base and have a team OPS of .741. They score 4.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 626 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this game with a 46-26 home mark and a 81-66 overall record. With an ERA of 5.80, Wade Miley has a 8-13 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 114 strikeouts over the 147.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 170 hits. He has allowed 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.77. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.62 and they have given up 464 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 454 times and walking 194 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.78 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.40. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,298 base knocks and 633 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 171 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 501 hitters and struck out 1,121. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .266 average at home. The Orioles hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.85 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .319. He has 153 hits this year along with 82 runs scored and 80 RBI. He's struck out 104 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Manny Machado is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .354. He has collected 177 hits so far while he's scored 100 runs and drove in 91. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 107 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,300 base hits, including 248 doubles and 234 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 428 times this year and they have struck out 1,202 times. They've had 961 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They score 4.74 runs per game and have totaled 697 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 73-66-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 68-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-78-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 77-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
09/17/16 1B Logan Morrison Wrist 60-day DL (9/16)
09/07/16 SS Matt Duffy Heel out for season
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
09/16/16 RF Mark Trumbo Back "?" Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
09/15/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow out indefinitely
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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