Friday, June 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Ricky Nolasco
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Target Field on Friday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are Jake Odorizzi for the Rays and Ricky Nolasco for the Twins. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay at -122 and Minnesota at +112. The over/under is 8.5. The Rays have a 22-24-5 over/under mark and a 23-28-0 run line record, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Twins are 22-30-0 against the run line and have a 28-21-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Rays head into this game with a 22-29 record, and they are 11-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 2-3 record with an ERA of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has 51 strikeouts during his 61.2 innings pitched and he has given up 51 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.19. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.09 and they have allowed 145 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the pen while they've been struck out 135 times and walked 47 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 8.49 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.38 hitters per nine. They are 16th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.13. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 423 base hits and 206 earned runs. They have allowed 68 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 139 batters and struck out 418. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .239, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .258 average on the road. The Rays have a .427 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .310 which is good for 21st in the league. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.06 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .315. He has 55 hits this season along with 27 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 14 times. Steven Souza is hitting .263 and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 46 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 68 times. The Rays have 411 hits, including 94 doubles and 72 home runs. They've stolen 23 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Tampa Bay has walked 154 times this season and they've struck out 486 times as a unit. They've left 351 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 209 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this game with a 8-15 home mark and a 15-37 overall record. With an ERA of 5.28, Ricky Nolasco has a 2-3 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 58 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 63 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.76. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.49 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .278 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 184 times and walking 60 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.11 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.02. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 516 base knocks and 255 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 149 hitters and struck out 412. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .243 average at home. The Twins hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .392. He has 52 hits this year along with 18 runs scored and 18 RBI. He's struck out 34 times and has walked on 32 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .329 and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 30 times. The Twins as a unit have 422 base hits, including 85 doubles and 52 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 155 times this year and they have struck out 462 times. They've had 361 men left on base and have an OPS of .686. They score 3.69 runs per game and have totaled 192 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 22-24-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 28-21-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 22-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
06/01/16 1B Steve Pearce Elbow "?" Thursday vs. Minnesota Twins
05/31/16 P Ryan Webb Pectoral 15-day DL (5/27)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
05/14/16 2B Logan Forsythe Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23), expected to be activated & start Thursday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
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