Sunday, June 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Tyler Duffey
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Target Field on Sunday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Drew Smyly for the Rays and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at -115 and Minnesota at +105. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Rays have a 23-25-5 over/under record and a 24-29-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Twins are 23-31-0 against the run line and have a 29-22-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 23-30 record, including 12-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 2-7 record with an earned run average of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 70 strikeouts over his 66 innings pitched and he has given up 62 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.14. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 155 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 140 times and walking 50 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.37 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 446 base hits and 214 earned runs. They have allowed 70 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 147 batters and struck out 433. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .238, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Rays hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.06 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .272 and his on-base percentage is at .317. He has 58 hits this season along with 29 runs scored and 30 runs batted in. He's struck out 55 times and has walked 14 times. Steven Souza is hitting .258 and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 47 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 71 times. The Rays have 427 hits, including 96 doubles and 75 home runs. They've stolen 23 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Tampa Bay has walked 155 times this season and they've struck out 501 times as a unit. They've left 360 men on base and have a team OPS of .733. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 217 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 9-16 home record and a 16-38 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.57, Tyler Duffey has a 2-4 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 36 strikeouts over the 41.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 50 hits. He has allowed 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 202 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 190 times and walking 60 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.08 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 532 base knocks and 262 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 74 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 150 hitters and struck out 427. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Twins hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.24 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .277 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 53 hits this year along with 19 runs scored and 18 RBI. He's struck out 36 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .328 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 57 hits so far while he's scored 23 runs and drove in 21. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 30 times. The Twins as a unit have 445 base hits, including 90 doubles and 54 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 163 times this year and they have struck out 477 times. They've had 382 men left on base and have an OPS of .696. They score 3.7 runs per game and have totaled 200 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-25-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 24-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 29-22-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 23-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
06/03/16 2B Steve Pearce Elbow "?" Saturday vs. Minnesota Twins
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/31/16 P Ryan Webb Pectoral 15-day DL (5/27)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
05/14/16 2B Logan Forsythe Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Back 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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