Saturday, October 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: J.A. Happ vs. Trevor Bauer
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Progressive Field on Saturday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays and Trevor Bauer for the Indians. The Blue Jays have a 63-93-6 over/under record and a 79-83-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Indians are 75-86-0 against the run line and have a 80-70-11 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 89-73 record, including 43-38 on the road. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ has a 20-4 record with an earned run average of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 163 strikeouts over his 195 innings pitched and he has given up 168 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.96. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 452 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen while being struck out 472 times and walking 136 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 1,340 base hits and 613 earned runs. They have allowed 183 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 461 batters and struck out 1,314. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Toronto is batting .248, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.38 hits per game. Jose Bautista comes into this game hitting .234 and his on-base percentage is at .366. He has 99 hits this season along with 68 runs scored and 69 runs batted in. He's struck out 103 times and has walked 87 times. Russell Martin is hitting .231 and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 105 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 64 times and has struck out 148 times. The Blue Jays have 1,358 hits, including 276 doubles and 221 home runs. They've stolen 54 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Toronto has walked 632 times this season and they've struck out 1,362 times as a unit. They've left 1,120 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 759 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 53-28 home record and a 94-67 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.26, Trevor Bauer has a 12-8 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 168 strikeouts over the 190 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 179 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 514 times and walking 190 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,330 base knocks and 617 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 186 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 461 hitters and struck out 1,398. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.91.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .288 average at home. The Indians hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.91 hits per contest. Jose Ramirez comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 176 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 76 RBI. He's struck out 62 times and has walked on 44 occasions. Mike Napoli is hitting .239 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 133 hits so far while he's scored 92 runs and drove in 101. He has earned a walk 78 times and has punched out 194 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,435 base hits, including 308 doubles and 185 homers. They have 134 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 31 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 531 times this year and they have struck out 1,246 times. They've had 1,084 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.83 runs per game and have totaled 777 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-93-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 79-83-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 80-70-11 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 75-86-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
10/14/16 2B Devon Travis Knee is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
10/08/16 P Francisco Liriano Concussion out indefinitely
09/27/16 P Joaquin Benoit Calf out indefinitely
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
10/01/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hand 60-day DL (9/17), out for season
09/13/16 P Danny Salazar Forearm out indefinitely
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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