Monday, April 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tanner Roark vs. Jose Fernandez
The Washington Nationals visit Marlins Park on Monday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Tanner Roark for the Nationals and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at +138 and Miami at -150. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Nationals have a 5-4-1 over/under record and a 7-3-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 70% of the time. The Marlins are 5-4-0 against the run line and have a 6-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
The Nationals head into this matchup with a 9-1 record, including 4-0 on the road. Starting pitcher Tanner Roark has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.73. He has 7 strikeouts over his 11 innings pitched and he has given up 13 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.77. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.10 and they have given up 19 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the bullpen while being struck out 27 times and walking 8 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 6.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.81 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 1.98. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 67 base hits and 20 earned runs. They have allowed 5 home runs this season and they allow 0.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 30 batters and struck out 79. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.07 and their FIP as a unit is 3.17.
As a team, Washington is batting .259, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .272 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.6 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .343 and his on-base percentage is at .442. He has 12 hits this season along with 9 runs scored and 14 runs batted in. He's struck out 3 times and has walked 7 times. Yunel Escobar is hitting .356 and he has an on-base percentage of .431. He has totaled 16 hits so far while scoring 6 runs and he's driven in 5. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 2 times. The Nationals have 86 hits, including 19 doubles and 12 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Washington has walked 36 times this season and they've struck out 82 times as a unit. They've left 67 men on base and have a team OPS of .765. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 49 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 0-4 home record and a 3-6 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.06, Jose Fernandez has a 0-1 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 10.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 8 hits. He has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.11. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 32 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 30 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.67 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 80 base knocks and 40 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 34 hitters and struck out 78. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 3.54.
As a team, they are batting .283, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .274 average at home. The Marlins hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 10.11 hits per contest. Dee Gordon comes into this matchup batting .311 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 14 hits this year along with 6 runs scored and 2 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 1 occasions. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .229 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 8 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 13 times. The Marlins as a unit have 91 base hits, including 20 doubles and 6 homers. They have 5 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Miami as a team has walked 36 times this year and they have struck out 79 times. They've had 80 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They score 4.22 runs per game and have totaled 38 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 5-4-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 7-3-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 6-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 5-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/17/16 1B Ryan Zimmerman Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
04/07/16 LF Ben Revere Oblique 15-day DL (4/5)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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