Monday, September 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: A.J. Cole vs. Wei-Yin Chen
The Washington Nationals visit Marlins Park on Monday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are A.J. Cole for the Nationals and Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -127 and Miami at +117. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Nationals have a 69-71-8 over/under record and a 74-74-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Marlins are 72-76-0 against the run line and have a 74-70-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this matchup with a 88-60 record, including 42-32 on the road. Starting pitcher A.J. Cole has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 31 strikeouts over his 28.2 innings pitched and he has given up 26 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.85. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.21 and they have given up 380 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 435 times and walking 144 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.76 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.07 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 1,156 base hits and 508 earned runs. They have allowed 139 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 420 batters and struck out 1,351. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.53.
As a team, Washington is batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.71 hits per game. Wilson Ramos comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .352. He has 137 hits this season along with 55 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 71 times and has walked 35 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .348 and he has an on-base percentage of .392. He has totaled 184 hits so far while scoring 88 runs and he's driven in 104. He has walked 35 times and has struck out 57 times. The Nationals have 1,289 hits, including 249 doubles and 190 home runs. They've stolen 110 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 35 times. Washington has walked 495 times this season and they've struck out 1,131 times as a unit. They've left 1,021 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 700 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 36-35 home record and a 73-75 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.99, Wei-Yin Chen has a 5-4 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 89 strikeouts over the 110 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 120 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 436 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 513 times and walking 236 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,245 base knocks and 585 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 136 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 544 hitters and struck out 1,270. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 3.92.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Marlins hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.21 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .300 and he has an OBP of .377. He has 160 hits this year along with 72 runs scored and 91 RBI. He's struck out 130 times and has walked on 64 occasions. Martin Prado is hitting .312 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 175 hits so far while he's scored 68 runs and drove in 70. He has earned a walk 47 times and has punched out 64 times. The Marlins as a unit have 1,363 base hits, including 246 doubles and 116 homers. They have 61 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Miami as a team has walked 406 times this year and they have struck out 1,118 times. They've had 1,084 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They score 4.09 runs per game and have totaled 606 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 69-71-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 74-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 74-70-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 72-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/17/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (7/3); expected to be activated and start Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
09/12/16 P Mat Latos Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start
09/09/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow out indefinitely
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21), expected to be activated & start Monday vs. Washington Nationals
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals
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