Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins 9/30/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, September 30, 2017

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lucas Sims vs. Odrisamer Despaigne

The Atlanta Braves head to Marlins Park on Saturday, September 30, 2017 to take on the Miami Marlins. The expected starting pitchers are Lucas Sims for the Braves and Odrisamer Despaigne for the Marlins.

The odds for this matchup have Atlanta at +122 and Miami at -135. The Braves have a 78-76-5 over/under mark and a 81-78-0 run line record. The Marlins are 81-78-0 against the run line and have a 81-67-11 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 78-76-5 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 81-78-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 81-67-11 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 81-78-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/26/2017 Matt Adams 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
9/26/2017 Mike Foltynewicz SP Finger Out for the season
9/20/2017 Matt Kemp LF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
9/19/2017 Armando Rivero RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2017 Danny Santana LF Quadriceps Out for the season
6/27/2017 Patrick Weigel SP Elbow Out for the season
3/8/2017 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/28/2017 Edward Cabrera Forearm Out for the season
9/26/2017 Wei-Yin Chen SP Elbow Out for the season
9/26/2017 Nick Wittgren RP Elbow Out for the season
9/19/2017 Martin Prado 3B Knee Out for the season
8/15/2017 Brett Lilek Shoulder Out for the season
8/1/2017 JT Riddle SS Shoulder Out for the season
8/1/2017 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Out for the season
6/20/2017 Braxton Garrett SP Elbow Out for the season
4/11/2017 Isael Soto CF Foot Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 71-88 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lucas Sims has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 43 strikeouts over his 55.2 innings pitched and he's given up 57 hits. He allows 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 476 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen and they've struck out 488 hitters and walked 221 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.69. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,427 base hits and 738 earned runs. They have allowed 190 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 573 batters and struck out 1,231. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.51.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .262, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Nick Markakis is hitting .274 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 159 hits this season in 580 at bats with 75 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .386 and an OPS+ of 96. Ender Inciarte is hitting .304 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 201 hits and he has driven in 57 men in 661 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .410. The Braves have 1,438 hits, including 284 doubles and 161 home runs. Atlanta has walked 462 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,165 times as a unit. They have left 1,104 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 717 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 75-84 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.21, Odrisamer Despaigne has a 1-3 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 25 strikeouts over the 51.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 50 hits. He allows 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 591 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 551 batters and walked 268 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.81. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,421 base knocks and 757 earned runs this season. They have given up 189 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 615 hitters and struck out 1,183 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.68.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 3rd in the league. The Marlins hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .376. He has 163 hits this year along with 129 RBI in 583 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .636 with an OPS+ of 166. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .311 this season and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 188 hits in 605 at bats while driving in 119 runs. He has an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .544. The Marlins as a unit have 1,461 base hits, including 263 doubles and 192 homers. Miami has walked 475 times this year and they have struck out on 1,255 occasions. They have had 1,105 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 4.76 runs per game and totaled 757 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves +122

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