Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers 9/21/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 21, 2017

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Zach Davies

The Chicago Cubs head to Miller Park on Thursday, September 21, 2017 to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The expected starting pitchers are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Zach Davies for the Brewers.

The odds for this matchup have Chicago at -134 and Milwaukee at +124. The Cubs have a 71-72-7 over/under mark and a 66-84-0 run line record. The Brewers are 81-70-0 against the run line and have a 65-79-7 over/under record.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 71-72-7 against the over/under

The Chicago Cubs are 66-84-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 65-79-7 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 81-70-0 against the run line

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

09/19/17 P Jake Arrieta Hamstring left last game, is upgraded to probable next scheduled start Thursday vs. Milwaukee

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

09/15/17 P Jimmy Nelson Arm 10-day DL (09/15)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 84-66 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 14-9 record with an earned run average of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.20. He has 157 strikeouts over his 160.1 innings pitched and he's given up 139 hits. He allows 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have given up 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen and they've struck out 556 hitters and walked 241 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 1,197 base hits and 600 earned runs. They have allowed 182 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 517 batters and struck out 1,322. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .256, good for 16th in the league. The Cubs hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .398. He has 150 hits this season in 538 at bats with 106 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .522 and an OPS+ of 137. Kris Bryant is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .404. He has totaled 150 hits and he has driven in 67 men in 517 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .532. The Cubs have 1,302 hits, including 258 doubles and 210 home runs. Chicago has walked 572 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,299 times as a unit. They have left 1,067 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 5.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 764 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 81-70 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.89, Zach Davies has a 17-9 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 121 strikeouts over the 180.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 191 hits. He allows 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.09. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 474 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 565 batters and walked 246 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,288 base knocks and 593 earned runs this season. They have given up 172 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 514 hitters and struck out 1,260 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 21st in the league. The Brewers hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Domingo Santana comes into this matchup batting .279 with an OBP of .371. He has 137 hits this year along with 78 RBI in 491 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .493 with an OPS+ of 123. Orlando Arcia is hitting .272 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 130 hits in 478 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 88 and a slugging percentage of .404. The Brewers as a team have 1,272 base knocks, including 250 doubles and 212 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 504 times this season and they have struck out 1,471 times. They have had 1,009 runners left on base and have an OPS of .754. They have scored 4.56 runs per contest and totaled 689 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs -134

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