Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins 7/30/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, July 30, 2017

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Castillo vs. Dan Straily

The Cincinnati Reds head to Marlins Park on Sunday, July 30, 2017 to take on the Miami Marlins. The expected starting pitchers are Luis Castillo for the Reds and Dan Straily for the Marlins.

The odds for this matchup have Cincinnati at +130 and Miami at -140. The Reds have a 53-46-4 over/under mark and a 50-53-0 run line record. The Marlins are 53-48-0 against the run line and have a 53-42-6 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 53-46-4 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 50-53-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 53-42-6 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 53-48-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

07/28/17 SS Zack Cozart Quad "?" Saturday vs. Miami Marlins
07/18/17 P Scott Feldman Knee 10-day DL (07/18)
06/29/17 P Brandon Finnegan Tricep 10-day DL (06/28)
06/26/17 P Bronson Arroyo Shoulder 60-day DL (06/19)
06/18/17 P Anthony DeSclafani Elbow 60-day DL (04/02)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 60-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (04/02)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

07/29/17 P Nick Wittgren Elbow 10-day DL (07/27)
07/25/17 1B Justin Bour Oblique 10-day DL (07/25)
07/25/17 SS J.T. Riddle Shoulder 10-day DL (07/25)
07/18/17 3B Martin Prado Knee 10-day DL (07/18)
07/07/17 P Edinson Volquez Knee 10-day DL (07/06)
06/23/17 P Brad Ziegler Back 10-day DL (06/21)
05/06/17 P Wei-Yin Chen Arm 10-day DL (05/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 41-62 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Luis Castillo has a 1-4 record with an earned run average of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 45 strikeouts over his 40 innings pitched and he's given up 36 hits. He allows 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 362 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 397 hitters and walked 168 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.27. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 932 base hits and 535 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 394 batters and struck out 826. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.30.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .254, good for 17th in the league. The Reds hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Adam Duvall is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 102 hits this season in 379 at bats with 70 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .530 and an OPS+ of 115. Joey Votto is hitting .300 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .425. He has totaled 108 hits and he has driven in 70 men in 360 at bats. His OPS+ is 156 while his slugging percentage is at .575. The Reds have 895 hits, including 168 doubles and 140 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 328 times so far this season and they have struck out 839 times as a unit. They have left 719 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 469 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 48-53 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.84, Dan Straily has a 7-6 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 107 strikeouts over the 117.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 106 hits. He allows 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 368 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 359 batters and walked 172 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.68. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 872 base knocks and 466 earned runs this season. They have given up 113 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 396 hitters and struck out 782 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.54.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Marlins hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this matchup batting .309 with an OBP of .368. He has 121 hits this year along with 77 RBI in 391 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .547 with an OPS+ of 140. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 103 hits in 376 at bats while driving in 71 runs. He has an OPS+ of 150 and a slugging percentage of .593. The Marlins as a unit have 939 base hits, including 175 doubles and 123 homers. Miami has walked 288 times this year and they have struck out on 795 occasions. They have had 696 men left on base and have an OPS of .762. They have scored 4.75 runs per game and totaled 480 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins -140

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